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Week 18 Regular Season
LAR

Los Angeles Rams

(10-6) • Home

31.3PPG
21.7PA
SEA

Seattle Seahawks

(10-6) • Away

35.5PPG
22.8PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
LARLAR1 out • -1.1 pts
Luther Burden III (WR)97 OVR
SEASEA5 out • -1.1 pts
Jaydon Blue (HB)94 OVR
Tucker Kraft (TE)88 OVR
Troy Franklin (WR)85 OVR
+2 more
Game Projections

Spread

LAR -7.5

ACC adj: +0.5

SOS adj: +0.5

Base: +6.5

LAR favored

Money Line

LAR-262
SEA+262
Win Prob72% / 28%

Over/Under

56.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

28

LAR

28.5

SEA

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
88%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+1.5

LAR: 30.8 OFF / 21.9 DEF — SEA: 30.6 OFF / 24.7 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Recent Form+1.5

LAR: -11.7 pts — SEA: -13.1 pts

Injury Impact+2.0

LAR: 1 out — SEA: 5 out

Team ADJ (historical)+0.5
Final SpreadLAR -7.5
Offense (Per Game)
LARSTATSEA
31.3
PPG
35.5
202.2
Total YPG
221.7
129.3
Pass YPG
131.3
72.9
Rush YPG
90.4
0.9
Pass TD/G
1.6
0.9
Rush TD/G
0.8
0.9
TO/G
1.0
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
48.6%
RZ TD %
59.6%
Defense (Per Game)
LARSTATSEA
21.7
PPG Allowed
22.8
154.4
Total YPG
214.3
107.4
Pass YPG
153.7
46.9
Rush YPG
60.6
1.8
Sacks/G
1.8
0.6
INTs/G
1.3
0.7
Takeaways/G
1.3
0.1
FF/G
0.1
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

LAR

LAR Props

Total Points
30.00
Points Against (Def)
27.00
Pass Yards
250.00
passAttempts
33.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
140.00
rushTds
1.00
rushAttempts
31.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
390.00
Sacks Recorded
2.50
Turnovers
2.50
defPointsAgainst
27.00
defTackles
39.00
defSacks
2.50
defTFLs
4.00
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.50
SEA

SEA Props

Total Points
31.50
Points Against (Def)
26.00
Pass Yards
220.00
passAttempts
29.00
passTds
1.50
Rush Yards
130.00
rushTds
1.00
rushAttempts
29.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
355.00
Sacks Recorded
3.00
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
26.00
defTackles
36.00
defSacks
3.00
defTFLs
5.50
defInterceptions
2.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.50
Key Matchup Edges
SEA

Offense vs Defense

SEA offense (222 YPG) vs LAR defense (154 YPG allowed)

SEA

Turnover Battle

LAR: -3 | SEA: +5

LAR

Home Field

LAR playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

LARLAR Injuries

-1.1 pts impact
Luther Burden III(WR)
97 OVR → 88-1.1 pts
OFF impact: -1.1
DEF impact: -0.0

SEASEA Injuries

-1.1 pts impact
Jaydon Blue(HB)
94 OVR → 83-1.1 pts
Tucker Kraft(TE)
88 OVR → 93-0.0 pts
Troy Franklin(WR)
85 OVR → 89-0.0 pts
Josh Justice(WR)
82 OVR → 89-0.0 pts
Romeo Faulk(DT)
78 OVR → 90-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -1.1
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.

LARLAR Schedule

SOS: 0.505
Games Played990
Opponent Record1729W - 1695L
Opp Win %50.5%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

SEASEA Schedule

SOS: 0.505
Games Played990
Opponent Record1728W - 1695L
Opp Win %50.5%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.