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Week 18 Scores
MIAMIA
-
BUFBUF
-
MIA -12O/U 53.5
Preview
DENDEN
-
KCKC
-
DEN -7.5O/U 60
Preview
GBGB
-
MINMIN
-
MIN -22.5O/U 54
Preview
ARIARI
-
CHICHI
-
ARI -15O/U 51.5
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
NENE
-
NE -23.5O/U 50
Preview
ATLATL
-
CLECLE
-
CLE -4O/U 56
Preview
DALDAL
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -11.5O/U 53
Preview
BALBAL
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -6O/U 51
Preview
WASWAS
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -19.5O/U 57.5
Preview
NYGNYG
-
HOUHOU
-
NYG -4O/U 51
Preview
SFSF
-
DETDET
-
DET -13O/U 60
Preview
CARCAR
27
NONO
25
FINAL Box Score
LACLAC
-
CINCIN
-
LAC -12O/U 53
Preview
TBTB
21
LVLV
14
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
TENTEN
-
IND -13O/U 55
Preview
SEASEA
-
LARLAR
-
LAR -7.5O/U 55
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 18 Regular Season
JAX

Jacksonville Jaguars

(9-7) • Home

23.8PPG
27.6PA
VS
DAL

Dallas Cowboys

(4-11) • Away

19.7PPG
30.2PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: +1 pts
JAXJAX3 out • -0.8 pts
Max Bayer (HB)86 OVR
Brock Purdy (QB)86 OVR
Jon Lilley (WR)80 OVR
DALDAL2 out • 0.0 pts
Zack Baun (LOLB)80 OVR
Danny Atkins (LE)67 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

JAX -11.5

INJ adj: +1

ACC adj: -2.5

Base: +13

JAX favored

Money Line

JAX-685
DAL+685
Win Prob87% / 13%

Over/Under

52

Combined projected points

Team O/U

28

JAX

24

DAL

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
95%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+5.0

JAX: 28.2 OFF / 28.1 DEF — DAL: 19.2 OFF / 28.8 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+8.5

JAX: 9-7 — DAL: 4-11-1

Recent Form+3.5

JAX: -0.1 pts — DAL: -3.8 pts

Injury Impact-2.5

JAX: 3 out — DAL: 2 out

Team ADJ (historical)-2.5
Final SpreadJAX -11.5
Offense (Per Game)
JAXSTATDAL
23.8
PPG
19.7
318.3
Total YPG
165.1
236.4
Pass YPG
124.7
81.9
Rush YPG
40.4
2.0
Pass TD/G
0.8
0.7
Rush TD/G
0.5
1.3
TO/G
0.6
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
41.4%
RZ TD %
56.0%
Defense (Per Game)
JAXSTATDAL
27.6
PPG Allowed
30.2
320.3
Total YPG
232.1
197.4
Pass YPG
146.9
122.9
Rush YPG
85.2
2.8
Sacks/G
1.9
1.0
INTs/G
0.6
2.1
Takeaways/G
0.8
1.1
FF/G
0.2
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

JAX

JAX Props

Total Points
28.50
Points Against (Def)
22.00
Pass Yards
250.00
passAttempts
34.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
95.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
21.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
345.00
Sacks Recorded
3.50
Turnovers
1.00
defPointsAgainst
22.00
defTackles
43.00
defSacks
3.50
defTFLs
6.50
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
1.00
defFumbleRecoveries
1.00
defTds
0.50
DAL

DAL Props

Total Points
22.50
Points Against (Def)
28.50
Pass Yards
215.00
passAttempts
28.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
90.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
20.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
305.00
Sacks Recorded
3.00
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
28.50
defTackles
43.00
defSacks
3.00
defTFLs
5.50
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.00
defFumbleRecoveries
0.00
defTds
0.00
Key Matchup Edges
JAX

Offense vs Defense

JAX offense (318 YPG) vs DAL defense (232 YPG allowed)

JAX

Turnover Battle

JAX: +12 | DAL: +3

JAX

Pass Rush

JAX: 2.8 sacks/g | DAL: 1.9 sacks/g

JAX

Home Field

JAX playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by +1 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

JAXJAX Injuries

-0.8 pts impact
Max Bayer(HB)
86 OVR → 78-0.8 pts
Brock Purdy(QB)
86 OVR → 91-0.0 pts
Jon Lilley(WR)
80 OVR → 84-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.8
DEF impact: -0.0

DALDAL Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Zack Baun(LOLB)
80 OVR → 84-0.0 pts
Danny Atkins(LE)
67 OVR → 95-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.

JAXJAX Schedule

SOS: 0.509
Games Played991
Opponent Record1752W - 1689L
Opp Win %50.9%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

DALDAL Schedule

SOS: 0.516
Games Played991
Opponent Record1779W - 1666L
Opp Win %51.6%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.