Golden Goose
Sign In
Buffalo Bills
Miami Dolphins
New England Patriots
New York Jets
Baltimore Ravens
Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars
Tennessee Titans
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers
Dallas Cowboys
New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Commanders
Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
Green Bay Packers
Minnesota Vikings
Atlanta Falcons
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks
Week 18 Scores
MIAMIA
-
BUFBUF
-
MIA -12O/U 53.5
Preview
DENDEN
-
KCKC
-
DEN -7.5O/U 60
Preview
GBGB
-
MINMIN
-
MIN -22.5O/U 54
Preview
ARIARI
-
CHICHI
-
ARI -15O/U 51.5
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
NENE
-
NE -23.5O/U 50
Preview
ATLATL
-
CLECLE
-
CLE -4O/U 56
Preview
DALDAL
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -11.5O/U 53
Preview
BALBAL
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -6O/U 51
Preview
WASWAS
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -19.5O/U 57.5
Preview
NYGNYG
-
HOUHOU
-
NYG -4O/U 51
Preview
SFSF
-
DETDET
-
DET -13O/U 60
Preview
CARCAR
27
NONO
25
FINAL Box Score
LACLAC
-
CINCIN
-
LAC -12O/U 53
Preview
TBTB
21
LVLV
14
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
TENTEN
-
IND -13O/U 55
Preview
SEASEA
-
LARLAR
-
LAR -7.5O/U 55
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 18 Regular Season
NE

New England Patriots

(13-3) • Home

29.9PPG
21.6PA
VS
NYJ

New York Jets

(6-10) • Away

20.8PPG
23.4PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: -1 pts
NENE1 out • -0.3 pts
Josh Simmons (LT)87 OVR
NYJNYJ2 out • -1.5 pts
Donnie Lange (LOLB)92 OVR
Jerry Barnett (HB)83 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

NE -23.5

INJ adj: -1

ACC adj: -2.0

SOS adj: -0.5

Base: +27

NE favored

Money Line

NE-5438
NYJ+5438
Win Prob98% / 2%

Over/Under

50

Combined projected points

Team O/U

27.5

NE

22

NYJ

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
98%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+6.5

NE: 31.5 OFF / 20.8 DEF — NYJ: 21.5 OFF / 24.1 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+13.0

NE: 13-3 — NYJ: 6-10

Recent Form+7.5

NE: +1.6 pts — NYJ: -5.8 pts

Strength of Schedule+0.5

NE: .495 avg opp — NYJ: .430 avg opp

Injury Impact+0.5

NE: 1 out — NYJ: 2 out

Team ADJ (historical)-2.0
Final SpreadNE -23.5
Offense (Per Game)
NESTATNYJ
29.9
PPG
20.8
301.7
Total YPG
238.4
180.3
Pass YPG
158.3
121.4
Rush YPG
80.2
1.4
Pass TD/G
0.8
1.5
Rush TD/G
0.6
1.3
TO/G
1.9
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
40.3%
RZ TD %
26.5%
Defense (Per Game)
NESTATNYJ
21.6
PPG Allowed
23.4
240.7
Total YPG
292.7
161.0
Pass YPG
196.6
79.7
Rush YPG
96.1
3.4
Sacks/G
3.8
1.2
INTs/G
0.4
1.4
Takeaways/G
1.6
0.3
FF/G
1.3
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

NE

NE Props

Total Points
29.00
Points Against (Def)
21.00
Pass Yards
220.00
passAttempts
29.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
125.00
rushTds
1.00
rushAttempts
28.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
345.00
Sacks Recorded
4.00
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
21.00
defTackles
41.00
defSacks
4.00
defTFLs
7.50
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.00
defFumbleRecoveries
0.00
defTds
0.50
NYJ

NYJ Props

Total Points
22.00
Points Against (Def)
25.00
Pass Yards
205.00
passAttempts
27.00
passTds
0.50
Rush Yards
85.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
19.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
290.00
Sacks Recorded
3.00
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
25.00
defTackles
42.00
defSacks
3.00
defTFLs
5.50
defInterceptions
0.50
defForcedFumbles
1.50
defFumbleRecoveries
1.50
defTds
0.00
Key Matchup Edges
NE

Turnover Battle

NE: +2 | NYJ: -4

NE

Home Field

NE playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by -1 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

NENE Injuries

-0.3 pts impact
Josh Simmons(LT)
87 OVR → 83-0.3 pts
OFF impact: -0.3
DEF impact: -0.0

NYJNYJ Injuries

-1.5 pts impact
Donnie Lange(LOLB)
92 OVR → 83-0.8 pts
Jerry Barnett(HB)
83 OVR → 75-0.7 pts
OFF impact: -0.7
DEF impact: -0.8
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by -0.5 points.

NENE Schedule

SOS: 0.495
Games Played990
Opponent Record1694W - 1729L
Opp Win %49.5%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

NYJNYJ Schedule

SOS: 0.512
Games Played990
Opponent Record1754W - 1669L
Opp Win %51.2%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts
Head-to-Head History
NENE leads series 1-0NYJ
Wk 4Reg
NYJNYJ21
-
31NENE

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.