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Week 18 Regular Season
CIN

Cincinnati Bengals

(3-13) • Home

16.1PPG
28.2PA
LAC

Los Angeles Chargers

(5-11) • Away

19.0PPG
33.2PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
CINCIN4 out • -0.2 pts
Otis Hall (HB)82 OVR
Dalton Kincaid (TE)82 OVR
Nick Josephsen (LE)85 OVR
+1 more
LACLAC2 out • 0.0 pts
Lathan Ransom (SS)81 OVR
Keelan Maynard (WR)81 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

LAC -12

LAC favored

Money Line

CIN+855
LAC-855
Win Prob11% / 90%

Over/Under

50

Combined projected points

Team O/U

26

CIN

24

LAC

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
98%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-2.0

CIN: 18 OFF / 31.8 DEF — LAC: 22.2 OFF / 32.2 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-3.5

CIN: 3-13 — LAC: 5-11

Recent Form-11.5

CIN: -3.9 pts — LAC: +7.4 pts

Injury Impact-1.0

CIN: 4 out — LAC: 2 out

Team ADJ (historical)+2.5
Final SpreadLAC -12
Offense (Per Game)
CINSTATLAC
16.1
PPG
19.0
225.6
Total YPG
218.4
179.8
Pass YPG
141.2
45.8
Rush YPG
77.2
1.1
Pass TD/G
1.1
0.4
Rush TD/G
0.5
1.3
TO/G
1.1
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
37.1%
RZ TD %
51.3%
Defense (Per Game)
CINSTATLAC
28.2
PPG Allowed
33.2
255.1
Total YPG
264.4
172.2
Pass YPG
186.8
82.9
Rush YPG
77.7
2.6
Sacks/G
2.6
0.3
INTs/G
0.7
0.5
Takeaways/G
0.8
0.3
FF/G
0.1
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

CIN

CIN Props

Total Points
25.00
Points Against (Def)
23.50
Pass Yards
255.00
passAttempts
34.00
passTds
0.50
Rush Yards
105.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
23.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
360.00
Sacks Recorded
5.00
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
23.50
defTackles
38.00
defSacks
5.00
defTFLs
9.00
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
LAC

LAC Props

Total Points
23.00
Points Against (Def)
27.00
Pass Yards
210.00
passAttempts
28.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
100.00
rushTds
0.00
rushAttempts
22.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
310.00
Sacks Recorded
3.50
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
27.00
defTackles
44.00
defSacks
3.50
defTFLs
6.50
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.00
defFumbleRecoveries
0.00
defTds
0.50
Key Matchup Edges
LAC

Turnover Battle

CIN: -12 | LAC: -6

CIN

Home Field

CIN playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

CINCIN Injuries

-0.2 pts impact
Otis Hall(HB)
82 OVR → 81-0.1 pts
Dalton Kincaid(TE)
82 OVR → 81-0.1 pts
Nick Josephsen(LE)
85 OVR → 91-0.0 pts
Emmanuel Haynes(HB)
81 OVR → 81-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.2
DEF impact: -0.0

LACLAC Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Lathan Ransom(SS)
81 OVR → 89-0.0 pts
Keelan Maynard(WR)
81 OVR → 84-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.

CINCIN Schedule

SOS: 0.520
Games Played990
Opponent Record1781W - 1644L
Opp Win %52.0%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

LACLAC Schedule

SOS: 0.514
Games Played990
Opponent Record1761W - 1664L
Opp Win %51.4%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.