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Week 18 Scores
MIAMIA
-
BUFBUF
-
MIA -12O/U 53.5
Preview
DENDEN
-
KCKC
-
DEN -7.5O/U 60
Preview
GBGB
-
MINMIN
-
MIN -22.5O/U 54
Preview
ARIARI
-
CHICHI
-
ARI -15O/U 51.5
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
NENE
-
NE -23.5O/U 50
Preview
ATLATL
-
CLECLE
-
CLE -4O/U 56
Preview
DALDAL
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -11.5O/U 53
Preview
BALBAL
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -6O/U 51
Preview
WASWAS
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -19.5O/U 57.5
Preview
NYGNYG
-
HOUHOU
-
NYG -4O/U 51
Preview
SFSF
-
DETDET
-
DET -13O/U 60
Preview
CARCAR
27
NONO
25
FINAL Box Score
LACLAC
-
CINCIN
-
LAC -12O/U 53
Preview
TBTB
21
LVLV
14
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
TENTEN
-
IND -13O/U 55
Preview
SEASEA
-
LARLAR
-
LAR -7.5O/U 55
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 18 Regular Season
CHI

Chicago Bears

(1-15) • Home

12.9PPG
33.2PA
VS
ARI

Arizona Cardinals

(8-8) • Away

26.5PPG
29.5PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: -0.5 pts
CHICHI1 out • 0.0 pts
Elias Castro (HB)81 OVR
ARIARI2 out • -0.4 pts
Cole Kmet (TE)83 OVR
Nate Darby (MLB)68 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

ARI -15

INJ adj: -0.5

ACC adj: +4.0

SOS adj: -0.5

Base: -18

ARI favored

Money Line

CHI+1435
ARI-1435
Win Prob7% / 94%

Over/Under

52.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

23

CHI

29.5

ARI

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
98%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-9.5

CHI: 12.1 OFF / 32.3 DEF — ARI: 27.5 OFF / 28.7 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-13.0

CHI: 1-15 — ARI: 8-8

Recent Form-0.5

CHI: +0.3 pts — ARI: +1.0 pts

Team ADJ (historical)+4.0
Final SpreadARI -15
Offense (Per Game)
CHISTATARI
12.9
PPG
26.5
148.2
Total YPG
217.9
102.8
Pass YPG
154.6
45.4
Rush YPG
63.3
0.8
Pass TD/G
1.0
0.1
Rush TD/G
0.9
1.4
TO/G
1.3
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
54.2%
RZ TD %
42.2%
Defense (Per Game)
CHISTATARI
33.2
PPG Allowed
29.5
177.8
Total YPG
205.2
119.3
Pass YPG
140.7
58.5
Rush YPG
64.5
1.8
Sacks/G
1.9
0.4
INTs/G
0.8
0.6
Takeaways/G
0.9
0.3
FF/G
0.2
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

CHI

CHI Props

Total Points
20.50
Points Against (Def)
29.00
Pass Yards
195.00
passAttempts
26.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
85.00
rushTds
0.00
rushAttempts
19.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
275.00
Sacks Recorded
2.50
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
29.00
defTackles
46.00
defSacks
2.50
defTFLs
5.00
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
ARI

ARI Props

Total Points
29.00
Points Against (Def)
22.50
Pass Yards
250.00
passAttempts
33.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
110.00
rushTds
1.00
rushAttempts
25.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
360.00
Sacks Recorded
4.50
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
22.50
defTackles
45.00
defSacks
4.50
defTFLs
8.00
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
Key Matchup Edges
ARI

Offense vs Defense

ARI offense (218 YPG) vs CHI defense (178 YPG allowed)

ARI

Turnover Battle

CHI: -12 | ARI: -6

CHI

Home Field

CHI playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by -0.5 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

CHICHI Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Elias Castro(HB)
81 OVR → 82-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

ARIARI Injuries

-0.4 pts impact
Cole Kmet(TE)
83 OVR → 78-0.4 pts
Nate Darby(MLB)
68 OVR → 83-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.4
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by -0.5 points.

CHICHI Schedule

SOS: 0.520
Games Played990
Opponent Record1781W - 1643L
Opp Win %52.0%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

ARIARI Schedule

SOS: 0.506
Games Played990
Opponent Record1733W - 1689L
Opp Win %50.6%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.