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Week 18 Regular Season
MIN

Minnesota Vikings

(9-7) • Home

29.5PPG
25.7PA
GB

Green Bay Packers

(2-14) • Away

16.9PPG
30.5PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: +0.5 pts
MINMIN1 out • -0.3 pts
Allen Riddick (HB)82 OVR
GBGB1 out • 0.0 pts
DeMario Douglas (WR)82 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

MIN -22.5

INJ adj: +0.5

ACC adj: -6.0

SOS adj: +0.5

Base: +27.5

MIN favored

Money Line

MIN-5856
GB+5856
Win Prob98% / 2%

Over/Under

52.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

30.5

MIN

22

GB

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
98%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+8.5

MIN: 28.9 OFF / 27.7 DEF — GB: 17 OFF / 32.5 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+13.0

MIN: 9-7 — GB: 2-14

Recent Form+11.0

MIN: +1.1 pts — GB: -9.9 pts

Team ADJ (historical)-6.0
Final SpreadMIN -22.5
Offense (Per Game)
MINSTATGB
29.5
PPG
16.9
252.5
Total YPG
201.3
173.8
Pass YPG
153.7
78.7
Rush YPG
47.6
1.6
Pass TD/G
1.5
0.8
Rush TD/G
0.0
0.7
TO/G
0.8
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
51.9%
RZ TD %
55.2%
Defense (Per Game)
MINSTATGB
25.7
PPG Allowed
30.5
250.4
Total YPG
271.6
164.4
Pass YPG
162.8
85.9
Rush YPG
108.9
3.0
Sacks/G
1.4
0.9
INTs/G
0.6
1.4
Takeaways/G
0.8
0.5
FF/G
0.2
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

MIN

MIN Props

Total Points
34.00
Points Against (Def)
19.50
Pass Yards
230.00
passAttempts
31.00
passTds
1.50
Rush Yards
130.00
rushTds
1.00
rushAttempts
29.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
360.00
Sacks Recorded
4.00
Turnovers
1.00
defPointsAgainst
19.50
defTackles
31.00
defSacks
4.00
defTFLs
7.00
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.50
GB

GB Props

Total Points
19.00
Points Against (Def)
34.00
Pass Yards
215.00
passAttempts
29.00
passTds
1.50
Rush Yards
90.00
rushTds
0.00
rushAttempts
20.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
305.00
Sacks Recorded
2.50
Turnovers
1.00
defPointsAgainst
34.00
defTackles
42.00
defSacks
2.50
defTFLs
4.00
defInterceptions
0.50
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
Key Matchup Edges
MIN

Turnover Battle

MIN: +11 | GB: -1

MIN

Pass Rush

MIN: 3.0 sacks/g | GB: 1.4 sacks/g

MIN

Home Field

MIN playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by +0.5 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

MINMIN Injuries

-0.3 pts impact
Allen Riddick(HB)
82 OVR → 79-0.3 pts
OFF impact: -0.3
DEF impact: -0.0

GBGB Injuries

0.0 pts impact
DeMario Douglas(WR)
82 OVR → 97-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.

MINMIN Schedule

SOS: 0.511
Games Played990
Opponent Record1758W - 1682L
Opp Win %51.1%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

GBGB Schedule

SOS: 0.519
Games Played990
Opponent Record1784W - 1654L
Opp Win %51.9%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts
Head-to-Head History
MINMIN leads series 1-0GB

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.