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Week 18 Regular Season
TEN

Tennessee Titans

(6-10) • Home

27.0PPG
26.6PA
IND

Indianapolis Colts

(12-4) • Away

25.8PPG
25.3PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
TENTEN2 out • 0.0 pts
Bryan Bresee (DT)86 OVR
Josh Contreras (LOLB)83 OVR
INDIND3 out • 0.0 pts
Emeka Egbuka (WR)90 OVR
Tank Dell (WR)85 OVR
Matt Goncalves (RG)78 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

IND -13

IND favored

Money Line

TEN+1150
IND-1150
Win Prob8% / 92%

Over/Under

53.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

27.5

TEN

26.5

IND

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
98%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-3.5

TEN: 26.3 OFF / 29.4 DEF — IND: 28.3 OFF / 24.3 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-11.0

TEN: 6-10 — IND: 12-4

Recent Form-7.5

TEN: -4.9 pts — IND: +2.8 pts

Injury Impact+1.0

TEN: 2 out — IND: 3 out

Team ADJ (historical)+3.5
Final SpreadIND -13
Offense (Per Game)
TENSTATIND
27.0
PPG
25.8
254.9
Total YPG
339.1
170.4
Pass YPG
234.2
84.6
Rush YPG
104.9
1.4
Pass TD/G
1.9
0.8
Rush TD/G
0.9
1.1
TO/G
2.1
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
44.7%
RZ TD %
47.7%
Defense (Per Game)
TENSTATIND
26.6
PPG Allowed
25.3
227.3
Total YPG
274.9
166.6
Pass YPG
203.1
60.6
Rush YPG
71.8
2.3
Sacks/G
4.3
0.6
INTs/G
0.4
0.9
Takeaways/G
1.5
0.3
FF/G
1.1
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

TEN

TEN Props

Total Points
27.00
Points Against (Def)
26.00
Pass Yards
240.00
passAttempts
32.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
100.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
23.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
345.00
Sacks Recorded
3.00
Turnovers
1.00
defPointsAgainst
26.00
defTackles
31.00
defSacks
3.00
defTFLs
5.00
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
IND

IND Props

Total Points
27.00
Points Against (Def)
26.00
Pass Yards
270.00
passAttempts
36.00
passTds
1.50
Rush Yards
110.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
24.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
375.00
Sacks Recorded
3.50
Turnovers
2.00
defPointsAgainst
26.00
defTackles
39.00
defSacks
3.50
defTFLs
6.50
defInterceptions
0.50
defForcedFumbles
1.00
defFumbleRecoveries
1.00
defTds
1.00
Key Matchup Edges
IND

Offense vs Defense

IND offense (339 YPG) vs TEN defense (227 YPG allowed)

TEN

Turnover Battle

TEN: -3 | IND: -10

IND

Pass Rush

TEN: 2.3 sacks/g | IND: 4.3 sacks/g

TEN

Home Field

TEN playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

TENTEN Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Bryan Bresee(DT)
86 OVR → 98-0.0 pts
Josh Contreras(LOLB)
83 OVR → 91-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

INDIND Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Emeka Egbuka(WR)
90 OVR → 93-0.0 pts
Tank Dell(WR)
85 OVR → 93-0.0 pts
Matt Goncalves(RG)
78 OVR → 88-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.

TENTEN Schedule

SOS: 0.510
Games Played990
Opponent Record1747W - 1676L
Opp Win %51.0%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

INDIND Schedule

SOS: 0.499
Games Played990
Opponent Record1709W - 1714L
Opp Win %49.9%
Spread Adj0.0 pts
Head-to-Head History
TENIND leads series 1-0IND

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.