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Back to Schedule
Week 18 Regular Season
PHI

Philadelphia Eagles

(15-1) • Home

38.6PPG
19.3PA
WAS

Washington Commanders

(10-6) • Away

28.7PPG
27.2PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
PHIPHIHealthy

No key injuries reported

WASWAS2 out • 0.0 pts
Antonio Rice (LOLB)78 OVR
Bill Haden (TE)74 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

PHI -19.5

ACC adj: -4.0

SOS adj: +0.5

Base: +23

PHI favored

Money Line

PHI-3008
WAS+3008
Win Prob97% / 3%

Over/Under

57.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

33

PHI

24.5

WAS

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
98%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+9.0

PHI: 38.2 OFF / 20 DEF — WAS: 27.6 OFF / 27.4 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+9.5

PHI: 15-1 — WAS: 10-6

Recent Form+8.0

PHI: -0.5 pts — WAS: -8.6 pts

Strength of Schedule-0.5

PHI: .522 avg opp — WAS: .596 avg opp

Team ADJ (historical)-4.0
Final SpreadPHI -19.5
Offense (Per Game)
PHISTATWAS
38.6
PPG
28.7
329.8
Total YPG
198.6
210.8
Pass YPG
147.9
119.1
Rush YPG
50.7
1.7
Pass TD/G
1.1
1.9
Rush TD/G
0.6
1.0
TO/G
0.8
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
52.3%
RZ TD %
47.2%
Defense (Per Game)
PHISTATWAS
19.3
PPG Allowed
27.2
311.7
Total YPG
201.2
229.4
Pass YPG
131.1
82.3
Rush YPG
70.1
3.9
Sacks/G
1.6
1.9
INTs/G
0.6
2.7
Takeaways/G
0.6
0.8
FF/G
0.0
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

PHI

PHI Props

Total Points
38.00
Points Against (Def)
21.50
Pass Yards
240.00
passAttempts
32.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
125.00
rushTds
1.00
rushAttempts
28.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
365.00
Sacks Recorded
3.50
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
21.50
defTackles
42.00
defSacks
3.50
defTFLs
6.50
defInterceptions
1.50
defForcedFumbles
1.00
defFumbleRecoveries
1.00
defTds
2.00
WAS

WAS Props

Total Points
25.00
Points Against (Def)
34.00
Pass Yards
255.00
passAttempts
34.00
passTds
1.50
Rush Yards
80.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
18.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
335.00
Sacks Recorded
2.50
Turnovers
2.50
defPointsAgainst
34.00
defTackles
45.00
defSacks
2.50
defTFLs
4.50
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
Key Matchup Edges
PHI

Offense vs Defense

PHI offense (330 YPG) vs WAS defense (201 YPG allowed)

PHI

Turnover Battle

PHI: +27 | WAS: -3

PHI

Pass Rush

PHI: 3.9 sacks/g | WAS: 1.6 sacks/g

PHI

Home Field

PHI playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

WASWAS Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Antonio Rice(LOLB)
78 OVR → 87-0.0 pts
Bill Haden(TE)
74 OVR → 85-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.

PHIPHI Schedule

SOS: 0.492
Games Played990
Opponent Record1684W - 1738L
Opp Win %49.2%
Spread Adj-0.1 pts

WASWAS Schedule

SOS: 0.510
Games Played990
Opponent Record1746W - 1679L
Opp Win %51.0%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts
Head-to-Head History
PHIPHI leads series 1-0WAS

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.