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Week 18 Regular Season
PIT

Pittsburgh Steelers

(8-8) • Home

23.5PPG
28.4PA
BAL

Baltimore Ravens

(11-5) • Away

23.7PPG
22.7PA
0
Game Projections

Spread

PIT -6

ACC adj: +0.5

SOS adj: +0.5

Base: +5

PIT favored

Money Line

PIT-210
BAL+210
Win Prob68% / 32%

Over/Under

51

Combined projected points

Team O/U

24.5

PIT

26

BAL

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
88%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-3.0

PIT: 26.2 OFF / 27.8 DEF — BAL: 25.3 OFF / 21.1 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-5.5

PIT: 8-8 — BAL: 11-5

Recent Form+12.0

PIT: +9.4 pts — BAL: -2.5 pts

Team ADJ (historical)+0.5
Final SpreadPIT -6
Offense (Per Game)
PITSTATBAL
23.5
PPG
23.7
271.7
Total YPG
170.2
189.7
Pass YPG
101.9
82.0
Rush YPG
68.3
1.6
Pass TD/G
0.6
0.8
Rush TD/G
0.8
1.1
TO/G
0.7
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
52.7%
RZ TD %
52.8%
Defense (Per Game)
PITSTATBAL
28.4
PPG Allowed
22.7
280.4
Total YPG
163.8
191.4
Pass YPG
115.1
88.9
Rush YPG
48.7
3.9
Sacks/G
2.4
0.7
INTs/G
0.3
1.1
Takeaways/G
0.8
0.4
FF/G
0.5
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

PIT

PIT Props

Total Points
24.50
Points Against (Def)
28.50
Pass Yards
240.00
passAttempts
32.00
passTds
1.50
Rush Yards
85.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
19.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
325.00
Sacks Recorded
4.00
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
28.50
defTackles
29.00
defSacks
4.00
defTFLs
7.50
defInterceptions
0.50
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
BAL

BAL Props

Total Points
28.00
Points Against (Def)
23.50
Pass Yards
225.00
passAttempts
30.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
125.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
28.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
350.00
Sacks Recorded
3.00
Turnovers
1.00
defPointsAgainst
23.50
defTackles
32.00
defSacks
3.00
defTFLs
5.00
defInterceptions
0.50
defForcedFumbles
1.00
defFumbleRecoveries
1.00
defTds
0.50
Key Matchup Edges
PIT

Offense vs Defense

PIT offense (272 YPG) vs BAL defense (164 YPG allowed)

PIT

Pass Rush

PIT: 3.9 sacks/g | BAL: 2.4 sacks/g

PIT

Home Field

PIT playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.

PITPIT Schedule

SOS: 0.506
Games Played990
Opponent Record1732W - 1691L
Opp Win %50.6%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

BALBAL Schedule

SOS: 0.508
Games Played991
Opponent Record1748W - 1694L
Opp Win %50.8%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts
Head-to-Head History
PITBAL leads series 1-0BAL

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.