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Week 18 Scores
MIAMIA
-
BUFBUF
-
MIA -12O/U 53.5
Preview
DENDEN
-
KCKC
-
DEN -7.5O/U 60
Preview
GBGB
-
MINMIN
-
MIN -22.5O/U 54
Preview
ARIARI
-
CHICHI
-
ARI -15O/U 51.5
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
NENE
-
NE -23.5O/U 50
Preview
ATLATL
-
CLECLE
-
CLE -4O/U 56
Preview
DALDAL
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -11.5O/U 53
Preview
BALBAL
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -6O/U 51
Preview
WASWAS
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -19.5O/U 57.5
Preview
NYGNYG
-
HOUHOU
-
NYG -4O/U 51
Preview
SFSF
-
DETDET
-
DET -13O/U 60
Preview
CARCAR
27
NONO
25
FINAL Box Score
LACLAC
-
CINCIN
-
LAC -12O/U 53
Preview
TBTB
21
LVLV
14
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
TENTEN
-
IND -13O/U 55
Preview
SEASEA
-
LARLAR
-
LAR -7.5O/U 55
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 18 Regular Season
CLE

Cleveland Browns

(7-9) • Home

24.7PPG
25.6PA
VS
ATL

Atlanta Falcons

(6-9) • Away

27.2PPG
28.7PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
CLECLE3 out • 0.0 pts
Marvin Harrison Jr (WR)90 OVR
Dillon Conway (HB)77 OVR
Brandon Rayburn (QB)76 OVR
ATLATL2 out • 0.0 pts
Alec Pierce (WR)84 OVR
Tomas Alvarez (TE)73 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

CLE -4

CLE favored

Money Line

CLE-181
ATL+181
Win Prob64% / 36%

Over/Under

54

Combined projected points

Team O/U

27.5

CLE

26.5

ATL

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
93%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup0.0

CLE: 25.3 OFF / 27.6 DEF — ATL: 27.6 OFF / 29.9 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+1.0

CLE: 7-9 — ATL: 6-9-1

Recent Form+3.0

CLE: -4.4 pts — ATL: -7.3 pts

Injury Impact-1.0

CLE: 3 out — ATL: 2 out

Final SpreadCLE -4
Offense (Per Game)
CLESTATATL
24.7
PPG
27.2
250.1
Total YPG
288.4
167.2
Pass YPG
198.9
82.9
Rush YPG
89.4
0.9
Pass TD/G
1.8
1.0
Rush TD/G
0.6
1.4
TO/G
1.7
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
46.0%
RZ TD %
50.0%
Defense (Per Game)
CLESTATATL
25.6
PPG Allowed
28.7
268.4
Total YPG
298.8
196.3
Pass YPG
197.4
72.1
Rush YPG
101.4
2.2
Sacks/G
2.3
0.7
INTs/G
0.3
1.2
Takeaways/G
0.6
0.5
FF/G
0.3
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

CLE

CLE Props

Total Points
28.50
Points Against (Def)
26.00
Pass Yards
250.00
passAttempts
33.00
passTds
0.50
Rush Yards
120.00
rushTds
1.00
rushAttempts
27.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
370.00
Sacks Recorded
3.50
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
26.00
defTackles
47.00
defSacks
3.50
defTFLs
6.50
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
1.00
defFumbleRecoveries
1.00
defTds
0.00
ATL

ATL Props

Total Points
28.00
Points Against (Def)
28.00
Pass Yards
255.00
passAttempts
34.00
passTds
1.50
Rush Yards
110.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
24.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
365.00
Sacks Recorded
4.50
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
28.00
defTackles
48.00
defSacks
4.50
defTFLs
8.00
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
Key Matchup Edges
CLE

Turnover Battle

CLE: -4 | ATL: -18

CLE

Home Field

CLE playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

CLECLE Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Marvin Harrison Jr(WR)
90 OVR → 92-0.0 pts
Dillon Conway(HB)
77 OVR → 99-0.0 pts
Brandon Rayburn(QB)
76 OVR → 88-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

ATLATL Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Alec Pierce(WR)
84 OVR → 94-0.0 pts
Tomas Alvarez(TE)
73 OVR → 88-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.

CLECLE Schedule

SOS: 0.506
Games Played990
Opponent Record1733W - 1691L
Opp Win %50.6%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

ATLATL Schedule

SOS: 0.510
Games Played990
Opponent Record1749W - 1682L
Opp Win %51.0%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.