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Back to Schedule
Week 18 Regular Season
HOU

Houston Texans

(4-12) • Home

20.2PPG
29.4PA
NYG

New York Giants

(8-8) • Away

26.0PPG
26.4PA
0
Game Projections

Spread

NYG -4

ACC adj: -0.5

SOS adj: +0.5

Base: -4

NYG favored

Money Line

HOU+181
NYG-181
Win Prob36% / 64%

Over/Under

52.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

25

HOU

27.5

NYG

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
88%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-2.0

HOU: 21.3 OFF / 27.8 DEF — NYG: 24.1 OFF / 26.9 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-7.5

HOU: 4-12 — NYG: 8-8

Recent Form+5.0

HOU: +0.9 pts — NYG: -4.1 pts

Team ADJ (historical)-0.5
Final SpreadNYG -4
Offense (Per Game)
HOUSTATNYG
20.2
PPG
26.0
229.0
Total YPG
226.1
172.8
Pass YPG
141.6
56.3
Rush YPG
84.6
1.4
Pass TD/G
1.3
0.2
Rush TD/G
0.7
1.4
TO/G
0.9
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
40.0%
RZ TD %
47.8%
Defense (Per Game)
HOUSTATNYG
29.4
PPG Allowed
26.4
253.5
Total YPG
236.4
169.8
Pass YPG
158.9
83.8
Rush YPG
77.6
2.1
Sacks/G
2.2
0.4
INTs/G
0.5
0.5
Takeaways/G
1.0
0.1
FF/G
0.5
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

HOU

HOU Props

Total Points
26.50
Points Against (Def)
27.00
Pass Yards
270.00
passAttempts
36.00
passTds
1.50
Rush Yards
85.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
19.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
355.00
Sacks Recorded
4.00
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
27.00
defTackles
30.00
defSacks
4.00
defTFLs
7.00
defInterceptions
0.50
defForcedFumbles
0.00
defFumbleRecoveries
0.00
defTds
0.00
NYG

NYG Props

Total Points
27.50
Points Against (Def)
26.50
Pass Yards
225.00
passAttempts
30.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
135.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
30.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
360.00
Sacks Recorded
3.50
Turnovers
1.00
defPointsAgainst
26.50
defTackles
43.00
defSacks
3.50
defTFLs
6.00
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
1.00
defFumbleRecoveries
1.00
defTds
1.00
Key Matchup Edges
NYG

Turnover Battle

HOU: -15 | NYG: +1

HOU

Home Field

HOU playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.

HOUHOU Schedule

SOS: 0.513
Games Played990
Opponent Record1756W - 1667L
Opp Win %51.3%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

NYGNYG Schedule

SOS: 0.510
Games Played990
Opponent Record1747W - 1678L
Opp Win %51.0%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.