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Back to Schedule
Week 17 Regular Season
GB

Green Bay Packers

(2-14) • Home

16.9PPG
30.5PA
CHI

Chicago Bears

(1-15) • Away

12.9PPG
33.2PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
GBGB1 out • 0.0 pts
DeMario Douglas (WR)82 OVR
CHICHI1 out • 0.0 pts
Elias Castro (HB)81 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

CHI -2.5

CHI favored

Money Line

GB+168
CHI-168
Win Prob37% / 63%

Over/Under

49

Combined projected points

Team O/U

26.5

GB

22.5

CHI

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
84%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+2.5

GB: 17 OFF / 32.5 DEF — CHI: 12.1 OFF / 32.3 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+2.0

GB: 2-14 — CHI: 1-15

Recent Form-10.0

GB: -9.9 pts — CHI: +0.3 pts

Team ADJ (historical)+1.0
Final SpreadCHI -2.5
Offense (Per Game)
GBSTATCHI
16.9
PPG
12.9
201.3
Total YPG
148.2
153.7
Pass YPG
102.8
47.6
Rush YPG
45.4
1.5
Pass TD/G
0.8
0.0
Rush TD/G
0.1
0.8
TO/G
1.4
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
55.2%
RZ TD %
54.2%
Defense (Per Game)
GBSTATCHI
30.5
PPG Allowed
33.2
271.6
Total YPG
177.8
162.8
Pass YPG
119.3
108.9
Rush YPG
58.5
1.4
Sacks/G
1.8
0.6
INTs/G
0.4
0.8
Takeaways/G
0.6
0.2
FF/G
0.3
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

GB

GB Props

Total Points
24.50
Points Against (Def)
26.00
Pass Yards
230.00
passAttempts
30.00
passTds
1.50
Rush Yards
85.00
rushTds
0.00
rushAttempts
19.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
315.00
Sacks Recorded
4.00
Turnovers
1.00
defPointsAgainst
26.00
defTackles
42.00
defSacks
4.00
defTFLs
7.50
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
CHI

CHI Props

Total Points
22.50
Points Against (Def)
26.50
Pass Yards
195.00
passAttempts
26.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
105.00
rushTds
0.00
rushAttempts
24.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
305.00
Sacks Recorded
4.00
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
26.50
defTackles
46.00
defSacks
4.00
defTFLs
7.50
defInterceptions
0.50
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
Key Matchup Edges
GB

Turnover Battle

GB: -1 | CHI: -12

GB

Home Field

GB playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

GBGB Injuries

0.0 pts impact
DeMario Douglas(WR)
82 OVR → 97-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

CHICHI Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Elias Castro(HB)
81 OVR → 82-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.

GBGB Schedule

SOS: 0.518
Games Played991
Opponent Record1788W - 1667L
Opp Win %51.8%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

CHICHI Schedule

SOS: 0.519
Games Played991
Opponent Record1795W - 1662L
Opp Win %51.9%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.