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MIN leads series 1-0
Week 17 Regular Season
FINAL — Prediction vs Result
SPREAD
Predicted
-9.0
Actual
+3
Dev: 12.0
OVER/UNDER
Predicted
58.0
Actual
65
Dev: 7.0
OVERTEAM O/U
MIN24.5→34
DET33.5→31
Game Projections
Spread
DET -9
ACC adj: +1.5
SOS adj: -0.5
Base: -9
DET favored
Money Line
MIN+379
DET-379
Win Prob21% / 79%
Over/Under
58
Combined projected points
Team O/U
25.5
MIN
32
DET
Offense (Per Game)
MINSTATDET
29.5
PPG
40.4
252.5
Total YPG
343.3
173.8
Pass YPG
214.6
78.7
Rush YPG
128.7
1.6
Pass TD/G
2.1
0.8
Rush TD/G
1.4
0.7
TO/G
1.5
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
51.9%
RZ TD %
41.8%
Defense (Per Game)
MINSTATDET
25.7
PPG Allowed
19.1
250.4
Total YPG
287.8
164.4
Pass YPG
220.4
85.9
Rush YPG
67.4
3.0
Sacks/G
3.2
0.9
INTs/G
2.1
1.4
Takeaways/G
3.0
0.5
FF/G
0.9
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
MIN Props
Total Points
27.5/34(6.5)
Points Against (Def)
30.5/31(0.5)
Pass Yards
240.0/181(59.0)
passAttempts
32.0/31(1.0)
passTds
1.5/1(0.5)
Rush Yards
95.0/70(25.0)
rushTds
1.0/1(0.0)
rushAttempts
22.0/16(6.0)
fgMade
0.0/2(2.0)
Total Yards
335.0/251(84.0)
Sacks Recorded
2.5/3(0.5)
Turnovers
2.0/2(0.0)
defPointsAgainst
30.5/31(0.5)
defTackles
31.0/26(5.0)
defSacks
2.5/3(0.5)
defTFLs
4.5/5(0.9)
defInterceptions
1.0/3(2.0)
defForcedFumbles
0.5/1(0.5)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5/1(0.5)
defTds
0.5/2(1.5)
DET Props
Total Points
35.5/31(4.5)
Points Against (Def)
24.5/34(9.5)
Pass Yards
235.0/305(70.0)
passAttempts
31.0/39(8.0)
passTds
1.5/4(2.5)
Rush Yards
140.0/113(27.0)
rushTds
1.0/0(1.0)
rushAttempts
31.0/21(10.0)
fgMade
0.0/1(1.0)
Total Yards
375.0/418(43.0)
Sacks Recorded
3.5/1(2.5)
Turnovers
1.5/3(1.5)
defPointsAgainst
24.5/34(9.5)
defTackles
39.0/23(16.0)
defSacks
3.5/1(2.5)
defTFLs
6.5/2(4.7)
defInterceptions
1.5/1(0.5)
defForcedFumbles
1.0/0(1.0)
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0/0(1.0)
defTds
1.0/0(1.0)
Key Matchup Edges
DET
Offense vs Defense
DET offense (343 YPG) vs MIN defense (250 YPG allowed)
DET
Turnover Battle
MIN: +11 | DET: +24
MIN
Home Field
MIN playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Head-to-Head History
MIN leads series 1-0Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.