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Week 18 Scores
MIAMIA
-
BUFBUF
-
MIA -12O/U 53.5
Preview
DENDEN
42
KCKC
41
FINAL Box Score
GBGB
-
MINMIN
-
MIN -22.5O/U 54
Preview
ARIARI
-
CHICHI
-
ARI -15O/U 51.5
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
NENE
-
NE -23.5O/U 50
Preview
ATLATL
-
CLECLE
-
CLE -4O/U 56
Preview
DALDAL
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -11.5O/U 53
Preview
BALBAL
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -6O/U 51
Preview
WASWAS
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -19.5O/U 57.5
Preview
NYGNYG
-
HOUHOU
-
NYG -4O/U 51
Preview
SFSF
-
DETDET
-
DET -13O/U 60
Preview
CARCAR
27
NONO
25
FINAL Box Score
LACLAC
-
CINCIN
-
LAC -12O/U 53
Preview
TBTB
21
LVLV
14
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
TENTEN
-
IND -13O/U 55
Preview
SEASEA
-
LARLAR
-
LAR -7.5O/U 55
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 17 Regular Season
LV

Las Vegas Raiders

(16-1) • Home

41.9PPG
16.5PA
VS
MIA

Miami Dolphins

(8-8) • Away

27.7PPG
26.7PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: -5 pts
LVLV1 out • 0.0 pts
Byron Murphy II (DT)92 OVR
MIAMIA2 out • -4.8 pts
C.J. Stroud (QB)91 OVR
Tory Horton (WR)87 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

LV -8.5

INJ adj: -5

ACC adj: -4.0

Base: +17.5

LV favored

Money Line

LV-1333
MIA+1333
Win Prob93% / 7%

Over/Under

57

Combined projected points

Team O/U

34

LV

23

MIA

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
90%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+11.5

LV: 42.8 OFF / 18.7 DEF — MIA: 27.7 OFF / 26.4 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+13.0

LV: 16-1 — MIA: 8-8

Recent Form-6.5

LV: -2.7 pts — MIA: +4.0 pts

Injury Impact+2.5

LV: 1 out — MIA: 2 out

Team ADJ (historical)-4.0
Final SpreadLV -8.5
Offense (Per Game)
LVSTATMIA
41.9
PPG
27.7
334.2
Total YPG
249.5
241.3
Pass YPG
167.0
92.9
Rush YPG
82.5
2.5
Pass TD/G
1.3
1.0
Rush TD/G
0.8
0.8
TO/G
1.1
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
43.2%
RZ TD %
46.0%
Defense (Per Game)
LVSTATMIA
16.5
PPG Allowed
26.7
232.6
Total YPG
260.0
156.0
Pass YPG
168.3
76.6
Rush YPG
91.7
2.3
Sacks/G
2.9
1.5
INTs/G
1.1
2.1
Takeaways/G
1.5
0.6
FF/G
0.4
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

LV

LV Props

Total Points
37.50
Points Against (Def)
19.00
Pass Yards
290.00
passAttempts
39.00
passTds
2.00
Rush Yards
115.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
26.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
410.00
Sacks Recorded
3.50
Turnovers
1.00
defPointsAgainst
19.00
defTackles
49.00
defSacks
3.50
defTFLs
6.00
defInterceptions
1.50
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.50
MIA

MIA Props

Total Points
22.50
Points Against (Def)
33.00
Pass Yards
215.00
passAttempts
29.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
100.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
22.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
315.00
Sacks Recorded
3.00
Turnovers
2.00
defPointsAgainst
33.00
defTackles
43.00
defSacks
3.00
defTFLs
5.50
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.00
defFumbleRecoveries
0.00
defTds
0.50
Key Matchup Edges
LV

Offense vs Defense

LV offense (334 YPG) vs MIA defense (260 YPG allowed)

LV

Turnover Battle

LV: +22 | MIA: +6

MIA

Pass Rush

LV: 2.3 sacks/g | MIA: 2.9 sacks/g

LV

Home Field

LV playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by -5 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

LVLV Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Byron Murphy II(DT)
92 OVR → 92-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

MIAMIA Injuries

-4.8 pts impact
C.J. Stroud(QB)
91 OVR → 71-4.8 pts
Tory Horton(WR)
87 OVR → 92-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -4.8
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.

LVLV Schedule

SOS: 0.496
Games Played991
Opponent Record1712W - 1740L
Opp Win %49.6%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

MIAMIA Schedule

SOS: 0.508
Games Played991
Opponent Record1755W - 1701L
Opp Win %50.8%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.