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PIT leads series 1-0
Week 17 Regular Season
FINAL — Prediction vs Result
SPREAD
Predicted
+5.5
Actual
+31
Dev: 25.5
OVER/UNDER
Predicted
54.5
Actual
51
Dev: 3.5
UNDERTEAM O/U
PIT30.0→41
KC24.5→10
Game Projections
Spread
PIT -5.5
PIT favored
Money Line
PIT-226
KC+226
Win Prob69% / 31%
Over/Under
54.5
Combined projected points
Team O/U
29.5
PIT
25
KC
Offense (Per Game)
PITSTATKC
23.5
PPG
20.6
271.7
Total YPG
209.9
189.7
Pass YPG
142.3
82.0
Rush YPG
67.6
1.6
Pass TD/G
1.2
0.8
Rush TD/G
0.5
1.1
TO/G
1.3
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
52.7%
RZ TD %
49.0%
Defense (Per Game)
PITSTATKC
28.4
PPG Allowed
34.4
280.4
Total YPG
298.1
191.4
Pass YPG
193.0
88.9
Rush YPG
105.1
3.9
Sacks/G
2.8
0.7
INTs/G
0.7
1.1
Takeaways/G
1.1
0.4
FF/G
0.4
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
PIT Props
Total Points
28.5/41(12.5)
Points Against (Def)
26.0/10(16.0)
Pass Yards
280.0/168(112.0)
passAttempts
38.0/18(20.0)
passTds
1.5/2(0.5)
Rush Yards
100.0/198(98.0)
rushTds
0.5/2(1.5)
rushAttempts
23.0/42(19.0)
fgMade
0.0/2(2.0)
Total Yards
385.0/366(19.0)
Sacks Recorded
5.0/4(1.0)
Turnovers
1.5/2(0.5)
defPointsAgainst
26.0/10(16.0)
defTackles
29.0/33(4.0)
defSacks
5.0/4(1.0)
defTFLs
8.5/7(1.3)
defInterceptions
0.5/0(0.5)
defForcedFumbles
0.5/2(1.5)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5/2(1.5)
defTds
0.0/1(1.0)
KC Props
Total Points
25.0/10(15.0)
Points Against (Def)
29.0/41(12.0)
Pass Yards
220.0/117(103.0)
passAttempts
29.0/24(5.0)
passTds
1.0/1(0.0)
Rush Yards
105.0/103(2.0)
rushTds
0.0/0(0.0)
rushAttempts
23.0/19(4.0)
fgMade
0.0/1(1.0)
Total Yards
325.0/220(105.0)
Sacks Recorded
3.0/2(1.5)
Turnovers
1.0/0(1.0)
defPointsAgainst
29.0/41(12.0)
defTackles
49.0/25(24.0)
defSacks
3.0/2(1.5)
defTFLs
5.0/3(2.3)
defInterceptions
1.0/0(1.0)
defForcedFumbles
0.5/0(0.5)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5/0(0.5)
defTds
0.5/0(0.5)
Key Matchup Edges
PIT
Turnover Battle
PIT: +1 | KC: -3
PIT
Pass Rush
PIT: 3.9 sacks/g | KC: 2.8 sacks/g
PIT
Home Field
PIT playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Head-to-Head History
PIT leads series 1-0Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.