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TB leads series 1-0
Week 17 Regular Season
FINAL — Prediction vs Result
SPREAD
Predicted
+5.5
Actual
+15
Dev: 9.5
OVER/UNDER
Predicted
54.0
Actual
67
Dev: 13.0
OVERTEAM O/U
TB29.8→41
CLE24.3→26
Game Projections
Spread
TB -5.5
ACC adj: -2.0
SOS adj: -0.5
Base: +5.5
TB favored
Money Line
TB-226
CLE+226
Win Prob69% / 31%
Over/Under
54
Combined projected points
Team O/U
29.5
TB
24.5
CLE
Offense (Per Game)
TBSTATCLE
31.9
PPG
24.7
339.8
Total YPG
250.1
198.5
Pass YPG
167.2
141.3
Rush YPG
82.9
1.5
Pass TD/G
0.9
1.3
Rush TD/G
1.0
1.5
TO/G
1.4
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
45.6%
RZ TD %
46.0%
Defense (Per Game)
TBSTATCLE
23.8
PPG Allowed
25.6
281.3
Total YPG
268.4
205.0
Pass YPG
196.3
76.3
Rush YPG
72.1
4.5
Sacks/G
2.2
1.4
INTs/G
0.7
2.1
Takeaways/G
1.2
0.7
FF/G
0.5
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
TB Props
Total Points
31.5/41(9.5)
Points Against (Def)
23.0/26(3.0)
Pass Yards
230.0/266(36.0)
passAttempts
31.0/31(0.0)
passTds
0.5/3(2.5)
Rush Yards
130.0/189(59.0)
rushTds
1.0/1(0.0)
rushAttempts
29.0/28(1.0)
fgMade
0.0/2(2.0)
Total Yards
360.0/455(95.0)
Sacks Recorded
6.0/5(1.0)
Turnovers
1.5/2(0.5)
defPointsAgainst
23.0/26(3.0)
defTackles
40.0/33(7.0)
defSacks
6.0/5(1.0)
defTFLs
10.5/9(1.5)
defInterceptions
1.0/1(0.0)
defForcedFumbles
1.0/1(0.0)
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0/1(0.0)
defTds
1.0/1(0.0)
CLE Props
Total Points
24.5/26(1.5)
Points Against (Def)
28.5/41(12.5)
Pass Yards
225.0/287(62.0)
passAttempts
30.0/33(3.0)
passTds
0.5/3(2.5)
Rush Yards
115.0/158(43.0)
rushTds
1.0/0(1.0)
rushAttempts
25.0/24(1.0)
fgMade
0.0/2(2.0)
Total Yards
340.0/445(105.0)
Sacks Recorded
3.0/0(3.0)
Turnovers
2.0/2(0.0)
defPointsAgainst
28.5/41(12.5)
defTackles
47.0/31(16.0)
defSacks
3.0/0(3.0)
defTFLs
5.5/0(5.5)
defInterceptions
1.0/1(0.0)
defForcedFumbles
1.0/1(0.0)
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0/1(0.0)
defTds
0.0/0(0.0)
Key Matchup Edges
TB
Offense vs Defense
TB offense (340 YPG) vs CLE defense (268 YPG allowed)
TB
Turnover Battle
TB: +10 | CLE: -4
TB
Pass Rush
TB: 4.5 sacks/g | CLE: 2.2 sacks/g
TB
Home Field
TB playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Head-to-Head History
TB leads series 1-0Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.