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JAX leads series 1-0
Week 17 Regular Season
FINAL — Prediction vs Result
SPREAD
Predicted
-0.5
Actual
-14
Dev: 13.5
OVER/UNDER
Predicted
49.5
Actual
54
Dev: 4.5
OVERTEAM O/U
NYJ24.5→20
JAX25.0→34
Game Projections
Spread
JAX -0.5
ACC adj: +1.5
SOS adj: +1
Base: -0.5
JAX favored
Money Line
NYJ+108
JAX-108
Win Prob48% / 52%
Over/Under
49.5
Combined projected points
Team O/U
25.5
NYJ
24
JAX
Offense (Per Game)
NYJSTATJAX
20.8
PPG
23.8
238.4
Total YPG
318.3
158.3
Pass YPG
236.4
80.2
Rush YPG
81.9
0.8
Pass TD/G
2.0
0.6
Rush TD/G
0.7
1.9
TO/G
1.3
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
26.5%
RZ TD %
41.4%
Defense (Per Game)
NYJSTATJAX
23.4
PPG Allowed
27.6
292.7
Total YPG
320.3
196.6
Pass YPG
197.4
96.1
Rush YPG
122.9
3.8
Sacks/G
2.8
0.4
INTs/G
1.0
1.6
Takeaways/G
2.1
1.3
FF/G
1.1
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
NYJ Props
Total Points
24.0/20(4.0)
Points Against (Def)
21.0/34(13.0)
Pass Yards
200.0/145(55.0)
passAttempts
27.0/20(7.0)
passTds
0.5/1(0.5)
Rush Yards
100.0/153(53.0)
rushTds
0.5/0(0.5)
rushAttempts
22.0/36(14.0)
fgMade
0.0/2(2.0)
Total Yards
300.0/298(2.0)
Sacks Recorded
3.0/3(0.0)
Turnovers
1.5/1(0.5)
defPointsAgainst
21.0/34(13.0)
defTackles
42.0/27(15.0)
defSacks
3.0/3(0.0)
defTFLs
5.5/5(0.1)
defInterceptions
0.5/1(0.5)
defForcedFumbles
1.5/1(0.5)
defFumbleRecoveries
1.5/1(0.5)
defTds
0.0/1(1.0)
JAX Props
Total Points
23.0/34(11.0)
Points Against (Def)
23.5/20(3.5)
Pass Yards
245.0/223(22.0)
passAttempts
33.0/23(10.0)
passTds
1.0/3(2.0)
Rush Yards
80.0/68(12.0)
rushTds
0.5/0(0.5)
rushAttempts
18.0/23(5.0)
fgMade
0.0/2(2.0)
Total Yards
325.0/291(34.0)
Sacks Recorded
4.0/9(5.0)
Turnovers
1.5/9(7.5)
defPointsAgainst
23.5/20(3.5)
defTackles
43.0/40(3.0)
defSacks
4.0/9(5.0)
defTFLs
7.0/16(9.2)
defInterceptions
1.0/0(1.0)
defForcedFumbles
1.0/8(7.0)
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0/4(3.0)
defTds
0.5/1(0.5)
Key Matchup Edges
JAX
Turnover Battle
NYJ: -4 | JAX: +12
NYJ
Pass Rush
NYJ: 3.8 sacks/g | JAX: 2.8 sacks/g
NYJ
Home Field
NYJ playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Head-to-Head History
JAX leads series 1-0Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.