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Week 18 Scores
MIAMIA
-
BUFBUF
-
MIA -12O/U 53.5
Preview
DENDEN
42
KCKC
41
FINAL Box Score
GBGB
-
MINMIN
-
MIN -22.5O/U 54
Preview
ARIARI
-
CHICHI
-
ARI -15O/U 51.5
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
NENE
-
NE -23.5O/U 50
Preview
ATLATL
-
CLECLE
-
CLE -4O/U 56
Preview
DALDAL
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -11.5O/U 53
Preview
BALBAL
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -6O/U 51
Preview
WASWAS
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -19.5O/U 57.5
Preview
NYGNYG
-
HOUHOU
-
NYG -4O/U 51
Preview
SFSF
-
DETDET
-
DET -13O/U 60
Preview
CARCAR
27
NONO
25
FINAL Box Score
LACLAC
-
CINCIN
-
LAC -12O/U 53
Preview
TBTB
21
LVLV
14
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
TENTEN
-
IND -13O/U 55
Preview
SEASEA
-
LARLAR
-
LAR -7.5O/U 55
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 17 Regular Season
WAS

Washington Commanders

(10-6) • Home

28.7PPG
27.2PA
VS
TEN

Tennessee Titans

(6-10) • Away

27.0PPG
26.6PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
WASWAS2 out • 0.0 pts
Antonio Rice (LOLB)78 OVR
Bill Haden (TE)74 OVR
TENTEN2 out • 0.0 pts
Bryan Bresee (DT)86 OVR
Josh Contreras (LOLB)83 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

WAS -4

ACC adj: -1.0

SOS adj: -1

Base: +6

WAS favored

Money Line

WAS-243
TEN+243
Win Prob71% / 29%

Over/Under

55.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

28.5

WAS

27

TEN

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
88%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+1.5

WAS: 27.6 OFF / 27.4 DEF — TEN: 26.3 OFF / 29.4 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+7.5

WAS: 10-6 — TEN: 6-10

Recent Form-3.5

WAS: -8.6 pts — TEN: -4.9 pts

Strength of Schedule+0.5

WAS: .596 avg opp — TEN: .474 avg opp

Team ADJ (historical)-1.0
Final SpreadWAS -4
Offense (Per Game)
WASSTATTEN
28.7
PPG
27.0
198.6
Total YPG
254.9
147.9
Pass YPG
170.4
50.7
Rush YPG
84.6
1.1
Pass TD/G
1.4
0.6
Rush TD/G
0.8
0.8
TO/G
1.1
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
47.2%
RZ TD %
44.7%
Defense (Per Game)
WASSTATTEN
27.2
PPG Allowed
26.6
201.2
Total YPG
227.3
131.1
Pass YPG
166.6
70.1
Rush YPG
60.6
1.6
Sacks/G
2.3
0.6
INTs/G
0.6
0.6
Takeaways/G
0.9
0.0
FF/G
0.3
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

WAS

WAS Props

Total Points
30.50
Points Against (Def)
26.00
Pass Yards
260.00
passAttempts
35.00
passTds
1.50
Rush Yards
85.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
19.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
345.00
Sacks Recorded
2.50
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
26.00
defTackles
45.00
defSacks
2.50
defTFLs
4.50
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
TEN

TEN Props

Total Points
26.50
Points Against (Def)
29.00
Pass Yards
255.00
passAttempts
34.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
115.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
25.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
365.00
Sacks Recorded
2.50
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
29.00
defTackles
31.00
defSacks
2.50
defTFLs
5.00
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
Key Matchup Edges
TEN

Offense vs Defense

TEN offense (255 YPG) vs WAS defense (201 YPG allowed)

TEN

Pass Rush

WAS: 1.6 sacks/g | TEN: 2.3 sacks/g

WAS

Home Field

WAS playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

WASWAS Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Antonio Rice(LOLB)
78 OVR → 87-0.0 pts
Bill Haden(TE)
74 OVR → 85-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

TENTEN Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Bryan Bresee(DT)
86 OVR → 98-0.0 pts
Josh Contreras(LOLB)
83 OVR → 91-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by -1 points.

WASWAS Schedule

SOS: 0.509
Games Played991
Opponent Record1760W - 1698L
Opp Win %50.9%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

TENTEN Schedule

SOS: 0.510
Games Played991
Opponent Record1761W - 1695L
Opp Win %51.0%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.