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Week 18 Scores
MIAMIA
-
BUFBUF
-
MIA -12O/U 53.5
Preview
DENDEN
42
KCKC
41
FINAL Box Score
GBGB
-
MINMIN
-
MIN -22.5O/U 54
Preview
ARIARI
-
CHICHI
-
ARI -15O/U 51.5
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
NENE
-
NE -23.5O/U 50
Preview
ATLATL
-
CLECLE
-
CLE -4O/U 56
Preview
DALDAL
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -11.5O/U 53
Preview
BALBAL
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -6O/U 51
Preview
WASWAS
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -19.5O/U 57.5
Preview
NYGNYG
-
HOUHOU
-
NYG -4O/U 51
Preview
SFSF
-
DETDET
-
DET -13O/U 60
Preview
CARCAR
27
NONO
25
FINAL Box Score
LACLAC
-
CINCIN
-
LAC -12O/U 53
Preview
TBTB
21
LVLV
14
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
TENTEN
-
IND -13O/U 55
Preview
SEASEA
-
LARLAR
-
LAR -7.5O/U 55
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 17 Regular Season
NO

New Orleans Saints

(7-10) • Home

29.0PPG
28.1PA
VS
CIN

Cincinnati Bengals

(3-13) • Away

16.1PPG
28.2PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
NONO2 out • 0.0 pts
Jonathan Turner (LT)87 OVR
Nicolas Ramirez (DT)78 OVR
CINCIN4 out • -0.2 pts
Otis Hall (HB)82 OVR
Dalton Kincaid (TE)82 OVR
Nick Josephsen (LE)85 OVR
+1 more
Game Projections

Spread

NO -5.5

ACC adj: -5.0

SOS adj: -1

Base: +11.5

NO favored

Money Line

NO-548
CIN+548
Win Prob85% / 15%

Over/Under

52

Combined projected points

Team O/U

29.5

NO

23

CIN

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
98%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+7.0

NO: 28.6 OFF / 28.7 DEF — CIN: 18 OFF / 31.8 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+6.5

NO: 7-10 — CIN: 3-13

Recent Form+0.5

NO: -3.3 pts — CIN: -3.9 pts

Strength of Schedule+0.5

NO: .619 avg opp — CIN: .496 avg opp

Injury Impact+1.0

NO: 2 out — CIN: 4 out

Team ADJ (historical)-5.0
Final SpreadNO -5.5
Offense (Per Game)
NOSTATCIN
29.0
PPG
16.1
248.9
Total YPG
225.6
179.8
Pass YPG
179.8
69.1
Rush YPG
45.8
1.5
Pass TD/G
1.1
0.8
Rush TD/G
0.4
1.2
TO/G
1.3
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
45.0%
RZ TD %
37.1%
Defense (Per Game)
NOSTATCIN
28.1
PPG Allowed
28.2
245.2
Total YPG
255.1
164.5
Pass YPG
172.2
80.7
Rush YPG
82.9
1.9
Sacks/G
2.6
1.0
INTs/G
0.3
1.9
Takeaways/G
0.5
0.9
FF/G
0.3
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

NO

NO Props

Total Points
31.50
Points Against (Def)
22.00
Pass Yards
270.00
passAttempts
36.00
passTds
2.00
Rush Yards
100.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
22.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
365.00
Sacks Recorded
3.50
Turnovers
1.50
defPointsAgainst
22.00
defTackles
35.00
defSacks
3.50
defTFLs
6.50
defInterceptions
1.50
defForcedFumbles
1.50
defFumbleRecoveries
1.50
defTds
0.50
CIN

CIN Props

Total Points
21.00
Points Against (Def)
29.50
Pass Yards
260.00
passAttempts
35.00
passTds
0.50
Rush Yards
80.00
rushTds
0.50
rushAttempts
18.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
345.00
Sacks Recorded
3.00
Turnovers
2.50
defPointsAgainst
29.50
defTackles
38.00
defSacks
3.00
defTFLs
5.50
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
0.50
defFumbleRecoveries
0.50
defTds
0.00
Key Matchup Edges
NO

Turnover Battle

NO: +12 | CIN: -12

CIN

Pass Rush

NO: 1.9 sacks/g | CIN: 2.6 sacks/g

NO

Home Field

NO playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

NONO Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Jonathan Turner(LT)
87 OVR → 94-0.0 pts
Nicolas Ramirez(DT)
78 OVR → 90-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

CINCIN Injuries

-0.2 pts impact
Otis Hall(HB)
82 OVR → 81-0.1 pts
Dalton Kincaid(TE)
82 OVR → 81-0.1 pts
Nick Josephsen(LE)
85 OVR → 91-0.0 pts
Emmanuel Haynes(HB)
81 OVR → 81-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.2
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by -1 points.

NONO Schedule

SOS: 0.512
Games Played991
Opponent Record1769W - 1683L
Opp Win %51.2%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

CINCIN Schedule

SOS: 0.519
Games Played991
Opponent Record1795W - 1663L
Opp Win %51.9%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.