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Week 18 Scores
MIAMIA
-
BUFBUF
-
MIA -12O/U 53.5
Preview
DENDEN
-
KCKC
-
DEN -7.5O/U 60
Preview
GBGB
-
MINMIN
-
MIN -22.5O/U 54
Preview
ARIARI
-
CHICHI
-
ARI -15O/U 51.5
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
NENE
-
NE -23.5O/U 50
Preview
ATLATL
-
CLECLE
-
CLE -4O/U 56
Preview
DALDAL
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -11.5O/U 53
Preview
BALBAL
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -6O/U 51
Preview
WASWAS
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -19.5O/U 57.5
Preview
NYGNYG
-
HOUHOU
-
NYG -4O/U 51
Preview
SFSF
-
DETDET
-
DET -13O/U 60
Preview
CARCAR
27
NONO
25
FINAL Box Score
LACLAC
-
CINCIN
-
LAC -12O/U 53
Preview
TBTB
21
LVLV
14
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
TENTEN
-
IND -13O/U 55
Preview
SEASEA
-
LARLAR
-
LAR -7.5O/U 55
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 16 Regular Season
LAC

Los Angeles Chargers

(5-11) • Home

19.0PPG
33.2PA
VS
CLE

Cleveland Browns

(7-9) • Away

24.7PPG
25.6PA
0
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
LACLAC2 out • 0.0 pts
Lathan Ransom (SS)81 OVR
Keelan Maynard (WR)81 OVR
CLECLE3 out • 0.0 pts
Marvin Harrison Jr (WR)90 OVR
Dillon Conway (HB)77 OVR
Brandon Rayburn (QB)76 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

LAC -1

SOS adj: -0.5

Base: +1.5

LAC favored

Money Line

LAC-125
CLE+125
Win Prob56% / 45%

Over/Under

52.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

24

LAC

28.5

CLE

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
80%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-4.0

LAC: 22.2 OFF / 32.2 DEF — CLE: 26.2 OFF / 27.6 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-3.5

LAC: 5-11 — CLE: 7-9

Recent Form+6.5

LAC: +7.4 pts — CLE: +1.1 pts

Strength of Schedule+0.5

LAC: .523 avg opp — CLE: .432 avg opp

Injury Impact+1.0

LAC: 2 out — CLE: 3 out

Final SpreadLAC -1
Offense (Per Game)
LACSTATCLE
19.0
PPG
24.7
218.4
Total YPG
250.1
141.2
Pass YPG
167.2
77.2
Rush YPG
82.9
1.1
Pass TD/G
0.9
0.5
Rush TD/G
1.0
1.1
TO/G
1.4
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
51.3%
RZ TD %
46.0%
Defense (Per Game)
LACSTATCLE
33.2
PPG Allowed
25.6
264.4
Total YPG
268.4
186.8
Pass YPG
196.3
77.7
Rush YPG
72.1
2.6
Sacks/G
2.2
0.7
INTs/G
0.7
0.8
Takeaways/G
1.2
0.1
FF/G
0.5
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

LAC

LAC Props

Total Points
23.50
Points Against (Def)
29.00
Pass Yards
215.00
passAttempts
29.00
passTds
1.00
Rush Yards
95.00
rushTds
0.00
rushAttempts
21.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
310.00
Sacks Recorded
4.50
Turnovers
2.00
defPointsAgainst
29.00
defTackles
44.00
defSacks
4.50
defTFLs
8.00
defInterceptions
1.50
defForcedFumbles
0.00
defFumbleRecoveries
0.00
defTds
0.50
CLE

CLE Props

Total Points
29.00
Points Against (Def)
23.50
Pass Yards
245.00
passAttempts
32.00
passTds
0.50
Rush Yards
140.00
rushTds
1.00
rushAttempts
31.00
fgMade
0.00
Total Yards
385.00
Sacks Recorded
5.00
Turnovers
2.00
defPointsAgainst
23.50
defTackles
47.00
defSacks
5.00
defTFLs
8.50
defInterceptions
1.00
defForcedFumbles
1.00
defFumbleRecoveries
1.00
defTds
0.00
Key Matchup Edges
LAC

Home Field

LAC playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

LACLAC Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Lathan Ransom(SS)
81 OVR → 89-0.0 pts
Keelan Maynard(WR)
81 OVR → 84-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

CLECLE Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Marvin Harrison Jr(WR)
90 OVR → 92-0.0 pts
Dillon Conway(HB)
77 OVR → 99-0.0 pts
Brandon Rayburn(QB)
76 OVR → 88-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by -0.5 points.

LACLAC Schedule

SOS: 0.514
Games Played990
Opponent Record1761W - 1664L
Opp Win %51.4%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

CLECLE Schedule

SOS: 0.506
Games Played990
Opponent Record1733W - 1691L
Opp Win %50.6%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.