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LV leads series 2-0
Week 16 Regular Season
FINAL — Prediction vs Result
SPREAD
Predicted
-7.5
Actual
-7
Dev: 0.5
OVER/UNDER
Predicted
60.5
Actual
69
Dev: 8.5
OVERTEAM O/U
DEN26.5→31
LV34.0→38
Game Projections
Spread
LV -7.5
ACC adj: +3.0
SOS adj: -0.5
Base: -7.5
LV favored
Money Line
DEN+303
LV-303
Win Prob25% / 75%
Over/Under
60.5
Combined projected points
Team O/U
28.5
DEN
32
LV
Offense (Per Game)
DENSTATLV
39.0
PPG
41.9
376.4
Total YPG
334.2
271.9
Pass YPG
241.3
104.6
Rush YPG
92.9
2.4
Pass TD/G
2.5
1.2
Rush TD/G
1.0
2.6
TO/G
0.8
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
52.6%
RZ TD %
43.2%
Defense (Per Game)
DENSTATLV
23.7
PPG Allowed
16.5
339.4
Total YPG
232.6
221.5
Pass YPG
156.0
117.9
Rush YPG
76.6
3.3
Sacks/G
2.3
1.1
INTs/G
1.5
1.5
Takeaways/G
2.1
0.4
FF/G
0.6
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
DEN Props
Total Points
34.0/31(3.0)
Points Against (Def)
28.0/38(10.0)
Pass Yards
275.0/230(45.0)
passAttempts
37.0/27(10.0)
passTds
2.0/3(1.0)
Rush Yards
105.0/168(63.0)
rushTds
0.5/1(0.5)
rushAttempts
23.0/24(1.0)
fgMade
0.0/1(1.0)
Total Yards
380.0/398(18.0)
Sacks Recorded
3.0/3(0.0)
Turnovers
2.5/5(2.5)
defPointsAgainst
28.0/38(10.0)
defTackles
45.0/26(19.0)
defSacks
3.0/3(0.0)
defTFLs
5.5/5(0.1)
defInterceptions
1.0/0(1.0)
defForcedFumbles
0.5/1(0.5)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5/1(0.5)
defTds
1.5/0(1.5)
LV Props
Total Points
34.0/38(4.0)
Points Against (Def)
27.5/31(3.5)
Pass Yards
280.0/322(42.0)
passAttempts
37.0/34(3.0)
passTds
2.0/1(1.0)
Rush Yards
110.0/80(30.0)
rushTds
0.5/2(1.5)
rushAttempts
24.0/22(2.0)
fgMade
0.0/3(3.0)
Total Yards
385.0/402(17.0)
Sacks Recorded
2.0/2(0.0)
Turnovers
1.5/1(0.5)
defPointsAgainst
27.5/31(3.5)
defTackles
49.0/24(25.0)
defSacks
2.0/2(0.0)
defTFLs
4.0/4(0.4)
defInterceptions
1.5/4(2.5)
defForcedFumbles
0.5/1(0.5)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5/1(0.5)
defTds
0.5/1(0.5)
Key Matchup Edges
DEN
Offense vs Defense
DEN offense (376 YPG) vs LV defense (233 YPG allowed)
LV
Turnover Battle
DEN: -18 | LV: +22
DEN
Pass Rush
DEN: 3.3 sacks/g | LV: 2.3 sacks/g
DEN
Home Field
DEN playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Head-to-Head History
LV leads series 2-0Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.