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NE leads series 1-0
Week 16 Regular Season
FINAL — Prediction vs Result
SPREAD
Predicted
+15.5
Actual
+13
Dev: 2.5
OVER/UNDER
Predicted
51.0
Actual
47
Dev: 4.0
UNDERTEAM O/U
NE33.3→30
GB17.8→17
Game Projections
Spread
NE -15.5
ACC adj: -6.0
SOS adj: +0.5
Base: +15.5
NE favored
Money Line
NE-991
GB+991
Win Prob91% / 9%
Over/Under
51
Combined projected points
Team O/U
30.5
NE
20.5
GB
Offense (Per Game)
NESTATGB
29.9
PPG
16.9
301.7
Total YPG
201.3
180.3
Pass YPG
153.7
121.4
Rush YPG
47.6
1.4
Pass TD/G
1.5
1.5
Rush TD/G
0.0
1.3
TO/G
0.8
0.0%
3rd Down %
0.0%
40.3%
RZ TD %
55.2%
Defense (Per Game)
NESTATGB
21.6
PPG Allowed
30.5
240.7
Total YPG
271.6
161.0
Pass YPG
162.8
79.7
Rush YPG
108.9
3.4
Sacks/G
1.4
1.2
INTs/G
0.6
1.4
Takeaways/G
0.8
0.3
FF/G
0.2
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
NE Props
Total Points
35.5/30(5.5)
Points Against (Def)
19.0/17(2.0)
Pass Yards
225.0/245(20.0)
passAttempts
30.0/31(1.0)
passTds
1.0/1(0.0)
Rush Yards
160.0/141(19.0)
rushTds
1.0/2(1.0)
rushAttempts
35.0/18(17.0)
fgMade
0.0/3(3.0)
Total Yards
380.0/386(6.0)
Sacks Recorded
3.5/6(2.5)
Turnovers
1.0/4(3.0)
defPointsAgainst
19.0/17(2.0)
defTackles
41.0/35(6.0)
defSacks
3.5/6(2.5)
defTFLs
6.5/11(4.3)
defInterceptions
1.5/0(1.5)
defForcedFumbles
0.0/1(1.0)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.0/1(1.0)
defTds
0.5/0(0.5)
GB Props
Total Points
19.0/17(2.0)
Points Against (Def)
35.0/30(5.0)
Pass Yards
230.0/224(6.0)
passAttempts
30.0/41(11.0)
passTds
1.5/2(0.5)
Rush Yards
80.0/130(50.0)
rushTds
0.0/0(0.0)
rushAttempts
17.0/19(2.0)
fgMade
0.0/1(1.0)
Total Yards
305.0/354(49.0)
Sacks Recorded
2.0/2(0.0)
Turnovers
1.5/0(1.5)
defPointsAgainst
35.0/30(5.0)
defTackles
42.0/28(14.0)
defSacks
2.0/2(0.0)
defTFLs
3.5/4(0.1)
defInterceptions
1.0/3(2.0)
defForcedFumbles
0.5/0(0.5)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5/0(0.5)
defTds
0.0/0(0.0)
Key Matchup Edges
NE
Offense vs Defense
NE offense (302 YPG) vs GB defense (272 YPG allowed)
NE
Turnover Battle
NE: +2 | GB: -1
NE
Pass Rush
NE: 3.4 sacks/g | GB: 1.4 sacks/g
NE
Home Field
NE playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Head-to-Head History
NE leads series 1-0Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.