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Week 14 Scores
DALDAL
-
TENTEN
-
TEN -16O/U 52.5
Preview
MINMIN
-
DETDET
-
DET -9.5O/U 60
Preview
INDIND
-
HOUHOU
-
IND -13.5O/U 51.5
Preview
GBGB
-
CHICHI
-
CHI -3.5O/U 50
Preview
BALBAL
-
KCKC
-
BAL -2.5O/U 53.5
Preview
ATLATL
-
CARCAR
-
CAR -9O/U 55.5
Preview
CINCIN
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -1.5O/U 51.5
Preview
BUFBUF
-
LACLAC
-
LAC -2.5O/U 52.5
Preview
PHIPHI
-
JAXJAX
-
PHI -12.5O/U 57.5
Preview
CLECLE
-
NYJNYJ
-
NYJ -2.5O/U 49
Preview
LARLAR
-
SEASEA
-
LAR -5O/U 57
Preview
LVLV
-
SFSF
-
LV -4O/U 59
Preview
NENE
-
MIAMIA
-
NE -3.5O/U 54.5
Preview
DENDEN
-
ARIARI
-
ARI -16.5O/U 61.5
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 14 Regular Season
ARI

Arizona Cardinals

(6-6) • Home

26.1PPG
29.7PA
VS
DEN

Denver Broncos

(8-4) • Away

39.8PPG
21.7PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: -1 pts
ARIARI3 out • -0.5 pts
Cole Kmet (TE)83 OVR
Alijah Vera-Tucker (RG)87 OVR
Jackson Slater (LG)76 OVR
DENDEN1 out • -1.4 pts
Nico Collins (WR)93 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

ARI -16.5

INJ adj: -1

ACC adj: +1.0

SOS adj: +0.5

Base: +16

ARI favored

Money Line

ARI-1068
DEN+1068
Win Prob91% / 9%

Over/Under

59

Combined projected points

Team O/U

25.5

ARI

33.5

DEN

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
95%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-6.0

ARI: 28 OFF / 28.9 DEF — DEN: 37.9 OFF / 26.4 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-5.0

ARI: 6-6 — DEN: 8-4

Recent Form+25.5

ARI: +7.6 pts — DEN: -18.1 pts

Strength of Schedule-0.5

ARI: .421 avg opp — DEN: .511 avg opp

Team ADJ (historical)+1.0
Final SpreadARI -16.5
Offense (Per Game)
ARISTATDEN
26.1
PPG
39.8
224.9
Total YPG
373.3
156.8
Pass YPG
276.5
68.2
Rush YPG
96.8
1.0
Pass TD/G
2.5
1.0
Rush TD/G
1.0
1.2
TO/G
2.5
52.2%
3rd Down %
57.5%
38.2%
RZ TD %
54.5%
Defense (Per Game)
ARISTATDEN
29.7
PPG Allowed
21.7
216.3
Total YPG
320.3
141.8
Pass YPG
208.4
74.4
Rush YPG
111.9
2.3
Sacks/G
3.0
0.7
INTs/G
1.2
0.8
Takeaways/G
1.5
0.2
FF/G
0.3
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

ARI

ARI Props

Total Points
25.5
Points Against (Def)
33.0
Pass Yards
240.0
passAttempts
32.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
105.0
rushTds
1.0
rushAttempts
23.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
345.0
Sacks Recorded
1.5
Turnovers
2.0
defPointsAgainst
33.0
defTackles
45.0
defSacks
1.5
defTFLs
3.0
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.0
DEN

DEN Props

Total Points
37.5
Points Against (Def)
23.0
Pass Yards
285.0
passAttempts
38.0
passTds
2.0
Rush Yards
115.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
25.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
400.0
Sacks Recorded
3.0
Turnovers
2.0
defPointsAgainst
23.0
defTackles
45.0
defSacks
3.0
defTFLs
5.0
defInterceptions
1.5
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
1.5
Key Matchup Edges
DEN

Offense vs Defense

DEN offense (373 YPG) vs ARI defense (216 YPG allowed)

ARI

Turnover Battle

ARI: -4 | DEN: -12

DEN

Pass Rush

ARI: 2.3 sacks/g | DEN: 3.0 sacks/g

ARI

Home Field

ARI playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by -1 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

ARIARI Injuries

-0.5 pts impact
Cole Kmet(TE)
83 OVR → 78-0.4 pts
Alijah Vera-Tucker(RG)
87 OVR → 85-0.1 pts
Jackson Slater(LG)
76 OVR → 85-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.5
DEF impact: -0.0

DENDEN Injuries

-1.4 pts impact
Nico Collins(WR)
93 OVR → 82-1.4 pts
OFF impact: -1.4
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.

ARIARI Schedule

SOS: 0.502
Games Played176
Opponent Record1076W - 1069L
Opp Win %50.2%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

DENDEN Schedule

SOS: 0.498
Games Played176
Opponent Record1070W - 1078L
Opp Win %49.8%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.