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Week 14 Scores
DALDAL
-
TENTEN
-
TEN -16O/U 52.5
Preview
MINMIN
-
DETDET
-
DET -9.5O/U 60
Preview
INDIND
-
HOUHOU
-
IND -13.5O/U 51.5
Preview
GBGB
-
CHICHI
-
CHI -3.5O/U 50
Preview
BALBAL
-
KCKC
-
BAL -2.5O/U 53.5
Preview
ATLATL
-
CARCAR
-
CAR -9O/U 55.5
Preview
CINCIN
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -1.5O/U 51.5
Preview
BUFBUF
-
LACLAC
-
LAC -8O/U 52.5
Preview
PHIPHI
-
JAXJAX
-
PHI -12.5O/U 57.5
Preview
CLECLE
-
NYJNYJ
-
CLE -4O/U 49
Preview
LARLAR
-
SEASEA
-
LAR -5O/U 57
Preview
LVLV
-
SFSF
-
LV -4O/U 59
Preview
NENE
-
MIAMIA
-
NE -3.5O/U 54.5
Preview
DENDEN
-
ARIARI
-
ARI -23.5O/U 61.5
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 14 Regular Season
NYJ

New York Jets

(6-6) • Home

20.5PPG
23.3PA
VS
CLE

Cleveland Browns

(6-6) • Away

24.2PPG
25.0PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: -7 pts
NYJNYJHealthy

No key injuries reported

CLECLE10 out • -4.8 pts
Ashton Jeanty (HB)99 OVR
Dillon Conway (HB)77 OVR
Jeremy Day (RE)88 OVR
+7 more
Game Projections

Spread

CLE -4

INJ adj: -7

ACC adj: -2.5

SOS adj: -0.5

Base: +6

CLE favored

Money Line

NYJ-243
CLE+243
Win Prob71% / 29%

Over/Under

48.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

24.5

NYJ

24

CLE

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
93%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+0.5

NYJ: 22.3 OFF / 21.8 DEF — CLE: 25.6 OFF / 26.4 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Recent Form+6.5

NYJ: -0.5 pts — CLE: -6.8 pts

Injury Impact+0.5

NYJ: 0 out — CLE: 2 out

Team ADJ (historical)-2.5
Final SpreadCLE -4
Offense (Per Game)
NYJSTATCLE
20.5
PPG
24.2
234.0
Total YPG
238.9
160.6
Pass YPG
168.5
73.4
Rush YPG
70.4
0.7
Pass TD/G
0.8
0.8
Rush TD/G
1.0
1.2
TO/G
1.3
35.8%
3rd Down %
44.9%
34.4%
RZ TD %
42.9%
Defense (Per Game)
NYJSTATCLE
23.3
PPG Allowed
25.0
277.4
Total YPG
257.4
198.9
Pass YPG
195.0
78.5
Rush YPG
62.4
3.6
Sacks/G
2.1
0.3
INTs/G
0.4
1.4
Takeaways/G
0.9
1.2
FF/G
0.5
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

NYJ

NYJ Props

Total Points
24.5
Points Against (Def)
21.0
Pass Yards
220.0
passAttempts
29.0
passTds
0.5
Rush Yards
85.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
19.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
305.0
Sacks Recorded
4.5
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
21.0
defTackles
42.0
defSacks
4.5
defTFLs
8.5
defInterceptions
0.5
defForcedFumbles
1.5
defFumbleRecoveries
1.5
defTds
0.0
CLE

CLE Props

Total Points
23.5
Points Against (Def)
24.0
Pass Yards
235.0
passAttempts
31.0
passTds
0.5
Rush Yards
105.0
rushTds
1.0
rushAttempts
24.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
340.0
Sacks Recorded
4.5
Turnovers
2.0
defPointsAgainst
24.0
defTackles
47.0
defSacks
4.5
defTFLs
8.0
defInterceptions
0.5
defForcedFumbles
1.0
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0
defTds
0.0
Key Matchup Edges
NYJ

Turnover Battle

NYJ: +3 | CLE: -5

NYJ

Pass Rush

NYJ: 3.6 sacks/g | CLE: 2.1 sacks/g

NYJ

Home Field

NYJ playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by -7 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

CLECLE Injuries

-4.8 pts impact
Ashton Jeanty(HB)
99 OVR → 70-3.0 pts
Dillon Conway(HB)
77 OVR → 70-0.6 pts
Jeremy Day(RE)
88 OVR → 84-0.4 pts
Jordan Battle(SS)
83 OVR → 77-0.4 pts
Rome Odunze(WR)
92 OVR → 90-0.3 pts
T'Vondre Sweat(DT)
87 OVR → 85-0.1 pts
Tremayne Westerman(ROLB)
83 OVR → 84-0.0 pts
Quay Walker(LOLB)
80 OVR → 89-0.0 pts
Ed Ingram(RG)
80 OVR → 87-0.0 pts
Sebastian Munoz(TE)
77 OVR → 80-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -3.9
DEF impact: -0.9
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by -0.5 points.

NYJNYJ Schedule

SOS: 0.504
Games Played176
Opponent Record1083W - 1065L
Opp Win %50.4%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

CLECLE Schedule

SOS: 0.499
Games Played176
Opponent Record1072W - 1076L
Opp Win %49.9%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.