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Week 14 Scores
DALDAL
-
TENTEN
-
TEN -16O/U 52.5
Preview
MINMIN
-
DETDET
-
DET -9.5O/U 60
Preview
INDIND
-
HOUHOU
-
IND -13.5O/U 51.5
Preview
GBGB
-
CHICHI
-
CHI -3.5O/U 50
Preview
BALBAL
-
KCKC
-
BAL -2.5O/U 53.5
Preview
ATLATL
-
CARCAR
-
CAR -9O/U 55.5
Preview
CINCIN
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -1.5O/U 51.5
Preview
BUFBUF
-
LACLAC
-
LAC -2.5O/U 52.5
Preview
PHIPHI
-
JAXJAX
-
PHI -12.5O/U 57.5
Preview
CLECLE
-
NYJNYJ
-
NYJ -2.5O/U 49
Preview
LARLAR
-
SEASEA
-
LAR -5O/U 57
Preview
LVLV
-
SFSF
-
LV -4O/U 59
Preview
NENE
-
MIAMIA
-
NE -3.5O/U 54.5
Preview
DENDEN
-
ARIARI
-
ARI -16.5O/U 61.5
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 14 Regular Season
MIA

Miami Dolphins

(7-6) • Home

27.8PPG
26.8PA
VS
NE

New England Patriots

(10-3) • Away

29.1PPG
21.8PA
Game Projections

Spread

NE -3.5

ACC adj: +2.5

SOS adj: +0.5

Base: -6.5

NE favored

Money Line

MIA+262
NE-262
Win Prob28% / 72%

Over/Under

54

Combined projected points

Team O/U

26

MIA

28

NE

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
88%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-4.0

MIA: 26.4 OFF / 25.4 DEF — NE: 31.8 OFF / 22.9 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-7.0

MIA: 7-6 — NE: 10-3

Recent Form+1.5

MIA: -0.2 pts — NE: -1.6 pts

Strength of Schedule-0.5

MIA: .529 avg opp — NE: .625 avg opp

Team ADJ (historical)+2.5
Final SpreadNE -3.5
Offense (Per Game)
MIASTATNE
27.8
PPG
29.1
245.9
Total YPG
280.6
171.8
Pass YPG
163.7
74.1
Rush YPG
116.9
1.2
Pass TD/G
1.3
0.6
Rush TD/G
1.5
1.1
TO/G
1.0
46.2%
3rd Down %
55.1%
42.1%
RZ TD %
44.0%
Defense (Per Game)
MIASTATNE
26.8
PPG Allowed
21.8
258.4
Total YPG
231.6
164.5
Pass YPG
156.8
93.8
Rush YPG
74.8
3.1
Sacks/G
2.5
1.2
INTs/G
1.3
1.5
Takeaways/G
1.5
0.3
FF/G
0.2
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

MIA

MIA Props

Total Points
26.5
Points Against (Def)
27.0
Pass Yards
225.0
passAttempts
30.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
105.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
23.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
330.0
Sacks Recorded
3.0
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
27.0
defTackles
43.0
defSacks
3.0
defTFLs
5.5
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
0.0
defFumbleRecoveries
0.0
defTds
0.5
NE

NE Props

Total Points
29.5
Points Against (Def)
24.5
Pass Yards
220.0
passAttempts
29.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
140.0
rushTds
1.0
rushAttempts
32.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
365.0
Sacks Recorded
3.0
Turnovers
1.0
defPointsAgainst
24.5
defTackles
41.0
defSacks
3.0
defTFLs
5.0
defInterceptions
1.5
defForcedFumbles
0.0
defFumbleRecoveries
0.0
defTds
0.5
Key Matchup Edges
MIA

Pass Rush

MIA: 3.1 sacks/g | NE: 2.5 sacks/g

MIA

Home Field

MIA playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.

MIAMIA Schedule

SOS: 0.505
Games Played176
Opponent Record1081W - 1060L
Opp Win %50.5%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

NENE Schedule

SOS: 0.500
Games Played176
Opponent Record1070W - 1070L
Opp Win %50.0%
Spread Adj0.0 pts
Head-to-Head History
MIANE leads series 1-0NE
Wk 3Reg
NENE21
-
17MIAMIA

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.