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Week 14 Scores
DALDAL
-
TENTEN
-
TEN -16O/U 52.5
Preview
MINMIN
-
DETDET
-
DET -9.5O/U 60
Preview
INDIND
-
HOUHOU
-
IND -13.5O/U 51.5
Preview
GBGB
-
CHICHI
-
CHI -3.5O/U 50
Preview
BALBAL
-
KCKC
-
BAL -2.5O/U 53.5
Preview
ATLATL
-
CARCAR
-
CAR -9O/U 55.5
Preview
CINCIN
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -1.5O/U 51.5
Preview
BUFBUF
-
LACLAC
-
LAC -2.5O/U 52.5
Preview
PHIPHI
-
JAXJAX
-
PHI -12.5O/U 57.5
Preview
CLECLE
-
NYJNYJ
-
NYJ -2.5O/U 49
Preview
LARLAR
-
SEASEA
-
LAR -5O/U 57
Preview
LVLV
-
SFSF
-
LV -4O/U 59
Preview
NENE
-
MIAMIA
-
NE -3.5O/U 54.5
Preview
DENDEN
-
ARIARI
-
ARI -16.5O/U 61.5
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 14 Regular Season
PIT

Pittsburgh Steelers

(5-7) • Home

22.6PPG
27.9PA
VS
CIN

Cincinnati Bengals

(2-10) • Away

15.9PPG
27.8PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: -1 pts
PITPITHealthy

No key injuries reported

CINCIN3 out • -0.8 pts
Nik Bonitto (RE)91 OVR
Otis Hall (HB)82 OVR
Dalton Kincaid (TE)82 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

PIT -1.5

INJ adj: -1

ACC adj: -0.5

SOS adj: -0.5

Base: +3.5

PIT favored

Money Line

PIT-168
CIN+168
Win Prob63% / 37%

Over/Under

49

Combined projected points

Team O/U

26.5

PIT

22.5

CIN

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
84%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+2.0

PIT: 22.9 OFF / 31.1 DEF — CIN: 17 OFF / 29.6 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+7.5

PIT: 5-7 — CIN: 2-10

Recent Form-7.5

PIT: -8.4 pts — CIN: -0.8 pts

Injury Impact+1.0

PIT: 0 out — CIN: 3 out

Team ADJ (historical)-0.5
Final SpreadPIT -1.5
Offense (Per Game)
PITSTATCIN
22.6
PPG
15.9
231.6
Total YPG
272.2
176.2
Pass YPG
219.3
55.4
Rush YPG
52.9
1.4
Pass TD/G
1.3
0.5
Rush TD/G
0.5
1.0
TO/G
1.3
46.5%
3rd Down %
40.0%
53.1%
RZ TD %
41.4%
Defense (Per Game)
PITSTATCIN
27.9
PPG Allowed
27.8
280.5
Total YPG
291.6
192.6
Pass YPG
197.2
87.9
Rush YPG
94.4
3.4
Sacks/G
3.3
0.4
INTs/G
0.3
0.6
Takeaways/G
0.4
0.2
FF/G
0.2
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

PIT

PIT Props

Total Points
26.5
Points Against (Def)
25.0
Pass Yards
255.0
passAttempts
34.0
passTds
1.5
Rush Yards
90.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
20.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
345.0
Sacks Recorded
4.0
Turnovers
1.0
defPointsAgainst
25.0
defTackles
29.0
defSacks
4.0
defTFLs
7.5
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.0
CIN

CIN Props

Total Points
23.0
Points Against (Def)
26.5
Pass Yards
260.0
passAttempts
35.0
passTds
0.5
Rush Yards
95.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
21.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
355.0
Sacks Recorded
3.0
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
26.5
defTackles
38.0
defSacks
3.0
defTFLs
5.5
defInterceptions
0.5
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.0
Key Matchup Edges
PIT

Turnover Battle

PIT: -5 | CIN: -11

PIT

Home Field

PIT playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by -1 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

CINCIN Injuries

-0.8 pts impact
Nik Bonitto(RE)
91 OVR → 85-0.7 pts
Otis Hall(HB)
82 OVR → 81-0.1 pts
Dalton Kincaid(TE)
82 OVR → 81-0.1 pts
OFF impact: -0.2
DEF impact: -0.7
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by -0.5 points.

PITPIT Schedule

SOS: 0.508
Games Played176
Opponent Record1090W - 1057L
Opp Win %50.8%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

CINCIN Schedule

SOS: 0.522
Games Played176
Opponent Record1120W - 1027L
Opp Win %52.2%
Spread Adj+0.2 pts
Head-to-Head History
PITPIT leads series 1-0CIN
Wk 7Reg
CINCIN7
-
34PITPIT

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.