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LAC leads series 1-0
Week 14 Regular Season
FINAL — Prediction vs Result
SPREAD
Predicted
+5.0
Actual
+14
Dev: 9.0
OVER/UNDER
Predicted
52.5
Actual
48
Dev: 4.5
UNDERTEAM O/U
LAC28.8→31
BUF23.8→17
Game Projections
Spread
LAC -5
ACC adj: -3.0
SOS adj: -0.5
Base: +5
LAC favored
Money Line
LAC-210
BUF+210
Win Prob68% / 32%
Over/Under
52.5
Combined projected points
Team O/U
26.5
LAC
25.5
BUF
Offense (Per Game)
LACSTATBUF
19.0
PPG
17.4
249.6
Total YPG
272.0
161.4
Pass YPG
169.1
88.2
Rush YPG
102.9
1.2
Pass TD/G
0.8
0.6
Rush TD/G
0.6
1.3
TO/G
2.2
39.4%
3rd Down %
35.4%
51.3%
RZ TD %
37.8%
Defense (Per Game)
LACSTATBUF
33.2
PPG Allowed
32.0
302.2
Total YPG
339.9
213.4
Pass YPG
212.5
88.8
Rush YPG
127.3
3.0
Sacks/G
2.3
0.8
INTs/G
0.7
0.9
Takeaways/G
1.2
0.1
FF/G
0.5
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
LAC Props
Total Points
26.5/31(4.5)
Points Against (Def)
25.0/17(8.0)
Pass Yards
215.0/276(61.0)
passAttempts
29.0/37(8.0)
passTds
1.0/1(0.0)
Rush Yards
105.0/158(53.0)
rushTds
0.0/2(2.0)
rushAttempts
24.0/24(0.0)
fgMade
0.0/4(4.0)
Total Yards
325.0/434(109.0)
Sacks Recorded
3.5/8(4.5)
Turnovers
2.0/0(2.0)
defPointsAgainst
25.0/17(8.0)
defTackles
44.0/29(15.0)
defSacks
3.5/8(4.5)
defTFLs
6.5/14(7.9)
defInterceptions
1.5/0(1.5)
defForcedFumbles
0.0/0(0.0)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.0/0(0.0)
defTds
0.5/0(0.5)
BUF Props
Total Points
23.0/17(6.0)
Points Against (Def)
28.0/31(3.0)
Pass Yards
190.0/268(78.0)
passAttempts
26.0/31(5.0)
passTds
0.5/2(1.5)
Rush Yards
125.0/142(17.0)
rushTds
0.5/0(0.5)
rushAttempts
27.0/23(4.0)
fgMade
0.0/1(1.0)
Total Yards
315.0/410(95.0)
Sacks Recorded
4.5/5(0.5)
Turnovers
2.0/0(2.0)
defPointsAgainst
28.0/31(3.0)
defTackles
53.0/33(20.0)
defSacks
4.5/5(0.5)
defTFLs
7.5/9(1.5)
defInterceptions
1.0/0(1.0)
defForcedFumbles
0.5/0(0.5)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5/0(0.5)
defTds
1.0/0(1.0)
Key Matchup Edges
LAC
Turnover Battle
LAC: -6 | BUF: -15
LAC
Pass Rush
LAC: 3.0 sacks/g | BUF: 2.3 sacks/g
LAC
Home Field
LAC playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Head-to-Head History
LAC leads series 1-0Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.