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Week 16 Scores
INDIND
-
JAXJAX
-
IND -7.5O/U 54
Preview
MINMIN
31
BUFBUF
38
FINAL Box Score
NONO
-
DALDAL
-
DAL -2.5O/U 53.5
Preview
TBTB
-
BALBAL
-
BAL -4O/U 52.5
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
HOUHOU
-
NYJ -4O/U 48
Preview
SEASEA
-
MIAMIA
-
MIA -23O/U 55.5
Preview
PITPIT
27
CARCAR
10
FINAL Box Score
CHICHI
-
TENTEN
-
TEN -11.5O/U 51
Preview
NYGNYG
-
WASWAS
-
NYG -2O/U 52.5
Preview
GBGB
17
NENE
30
FINAL Box Score
LVLV
38
DENDEN
31
FINAL Box Score
CINCIN
-
KCKC
-
KC -8.5O/U 53
Preview
DETDET
37
ARIARI
19
FINAL Box Score
LARLAR
-
SFSF
-
SF -1.5O/U 57.5
Preview
ATLATL
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -20O/U 58
Preview
CLECLE
-
LACLAC
-
CLE -1.5O/U 55
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 16 Regular Season
KC

Kansas City Chiefs

(3-11) • Home

20.4PPG
34.7PA
VS
CIN

Cincinnati Bengals

(2-12) • Away

16.1PPG
28.2PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
KCKC1 out • 0.0 pts
Jeremiah Stevens (QB)73 OVR
CINCIN3 out • -0.2 pts
Otis Hall (HB)82 OVR
Dalton Kincaid (TE)82 OVR
Josh Jacobs (HB)81 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

KC -8.5

KC favored

Money Line

KC-591
CIN+591
Win Prob86% / 14%

Over/Under

51.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

25.5

KC

25.5

CIN

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
98%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+2.0

KC: 22.3 OFF / 32.2 DEF — CIN: 18 OFF / 31.8 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+2.0

KC: 3-11 — CIN: 2-12

Recent Form+10.0

KC: +5.9 pts — CIN: -3.9 pts

Injury Impact+0.5

KC: 1 out — CIN: 2 out

Team ADJ (historical)-3.5
Final SpreadKC -8.5
Offense (Per Game)
KCSTATCIN
20.4
PPG
16.1
216.3
Total YPG
257.8
150.0
Pass YPG
205.4
66.3
Rush YPG
52.4
1.3
Pass TD/G
1.3
0.5
Rush TD/G
0.5
1.2
TO/G
1.4
44.8%
3rd Down %
40.0%
50.0%
RZ TD %
37.1%
Defense (Per Game)
KCSTATCIN
34.7
PPG Allowed
28.2
304.6
Total YPG
291.5
199.6
Pass YPG
196.8
105.1
Rush YPG
94.7
3.3
Sacks/G
2.9
0.6
INTs/G
0.3
1.1
Takeaways/G
0.6
0.5
FF/G
0.3
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

KC

KC Props

Total Points
25.0
Points Against (Def)
25.5
Pass Yards
215.0
passAttempts
28.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
90.0
rushTds
0.0
rushAttempts
20.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
305.0
Sacks Recorded
3.5
Turnovers
1.0
defPointsAgainst
25.5
defTackles
49.0
defSacks
3.5
defTFLs
6.5
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.5
CIN

CIN Props

Total Points
23.5
Points Against (Def)
25.5
Pass Yards
280.0
passAttempts
38.0
passTds
0.5
Rush Yards
95.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
21.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
375.0
Sacks Recorded
4.5
Turnovers
2.0
defPointsAgainst
25.5
defTackles
38.0
defSacks
4.5
defTFLs
8.0
defInterceptions
0.5
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.0
Key Matchup Edges
KC

Turnover Battle

KC: -1 | CIN: -12

KC

Home Field

KC playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

KCKC Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Jeremiah Stevens(QB)
73 OVR → 82-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

CINCIN Injuries

-0.2 pts impact
Otis Hall(HB)
82 OVR → 81-0.1 pts
Dalton Kincaid(TE)
82 OVR → 81-0.1 pts
Josh Jacobs(HB)
81 OVR → 81-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.2
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.

KCKC Schedule

SOS: 0.513
Games Played467
Opponent Record1442W - 1368L
Opp Win %51.3%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

CINCIN Schedule

SOS: 0.515
Games Played467
Opponent Record1449W - 1363L
Opp Win %51.5%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.