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Week 16 Regular Season
JAX

Jacksonville Jaguars

(0-0) • Home

22.1PPG
28.6PA
VS
IND

Indianapolis Colts

(0-0) • Away

27.5PPG
24.3PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: +1 pts
JAXJAX4 out • -0.9 pts
Max Bayer (HB)86 OVR
Brock Purdy (QB)86 OVR
Byron Young (RE)85 OVR
+1 more
INDIND2 out • 0.0 pts
Emeka Egbuka (WR)90 OVR
Tank Dell (WR)84 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

IND -2

INJ adj: +1

Base: -3

IND favored

Money Line

N/A

Over/Under

52.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

25

JAX

28

IND

Offense (Per Game)
JAXSTATIND
22.1
PPG
27.5
1767.0
Total YPG
2216.0
1304.0
Pass YPG
1638.0
463.0
Rush YPG
578.0
9.0
Pass TD/G
13.0
4.0
Rush TD/G
4.0
9.0
TO/G
16.0
48.3%
3rd Down %
60.2%
44.0%
RZ TD %
37.5%
Defense (Per Game)
JAXSTATIND
28.6
PPG Allowed
24.3
1789.0
Total YPG
1732.0
1177.0
Pass YPG
1202.0
612.0
Rush YPG
530.0
12.0
Sacks/G
30.0
8.0
INTs/G
1.0
12.0
Takeaways/G
8.0
4.0
FF/G
7.0
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

JAX

JAX Props

Total Points
26.5
Points Against (Def)
24.0
Pass Yards
245.0
passAttempts
33.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
85.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
19.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
330.0
Sacks Recorded
2.5
Turnovers
1.0
defPointsAgainst
24.0
defTackles
43.0
defSacks
2.5
defTFLs
4.5
defInterceptions
1.5
defForcedFumbles
1.0
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0
defTds
0.5
IND

IND Props

Total Points
25.5
Points Against (Def)
25.5
Pass Yards
260.0
passAttempts
34.0
passTds
1.5
Rush Yards
115.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
26.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
375.0
Sacks Recorded
3.0
Turnovers
2.0
defPointsAgainst
25.5
defTackles
39.0
defSacks
3.0
defTFLs
6.0
defInterceptions
0.5
defForcedFumbles
1.0
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0
defTds
1.0
Key Matchup Edges
JAX

Offense vs Defense

JAX offense (1767 YPG) vs IND defense (1732 YPG allowed)

IND

Offense vs Defense

IND offense (2216 YPG) vs JAX defense (1789 YPG allowed)

JAX

Turnover Battle

JAX: +3 | IND: -8

IND

Pass Rush

JAX: 12.0 sacks/g | IND: 30.0 sacks/g

JAX

Home Field

JAX playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by +1 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

JAXJAX Injuries

-0.9 pts impact
Max Bayer(HB)
86 OVR → 77-0.8 pts
Brock Purdy(QB)
86 OVR → 91-0.0 pts
Byron Young(RE)
85 OVR → 87-0.0 pts
Jon Lilley(WR)
79 OVR → 84-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.8
DEF impact: -0.0

INDIND Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Emeka Egbuka(WR)
90 OVR → 93-0.0 pts
Tank Dell(WR)
84 OVR → 93-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.

JAXJAX Schedule

SOS: 0.500
Games Played467
Opponent Record0W - 0L
Opp Win %50.0%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

INDIND Schedule

SOS: 0.500
Games Played467
Opponent Record0W - 0L
Opp Win %50.0%
Spread Adj0.0 pts
Head-to-Head History
JAXIND leads series 1-0IND
Wk 5Reg
INDIND23
-
16JAXJAX

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.