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Week 16 Scores
INDIND
-
JAXJAX
-
IND -7.5O/U 54
Preview
MINMIN
31
BUFBUF
38
FINAL Box Score
NONO
-
DALDAL
-
DAL -2.5O/U 53.5
Preview
TBTB
-
BALBAL
-
BAL -4O/U 52.5
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
HOUHOU
-
NYJ -4O/U 48
Preview
SEASEA
-
MIAMIA
-
MIA -23O/U 55.5
Preview
PITPIT
27
CARCAR
10
FINAL Box Score
CHICHI
-
TENTEN
-
TEN -11O/U 51
Preview
NYGNYG
-
WASWAS
-
NYG -2O/U 52.5
Preview
GBGB
17
NENE
30
FINAL Box Score
LVLV
38
DENDEN
31
FINAL Box Score
CINCIN
-
KCKC
-
KC -8.5O/U 53
Preview
DETDET
37
ARIARI
19
FINAL Box Score
LARLAR
-
SFSF
-
SF -1.5O/U 57.5
Preview
ATLATL
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -20O/U 58
Preview
CLECLE
-
LACLAC
-
CLE -1.5O/U 55
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 16 Regular Season
DAL

Dallas Cowboys

(4-9) • Home

19.8PPG
30.3PA
VS
NO

New Orleans Saints

(6-8) • Away

29.2PPG
28.1PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
DALDAL1 out • 0.0 pts
Zack Baun (LOLB)80 OVR
NONO1 out • 0.0 pts
Jonathan Turner (LT)87 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

DAL -2.5

ACC adj: +3.0

SOS adj: +0.5

Base: -1

DAL favored

Money Line

DAL+116
NO-116
Win Prob46% / 54%

Over/Under

54.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

25.5

DAL

29.5

NO

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
80%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-4.5

DAL: 19.3 OFF / 28.7 DEF — NO: 28.6 OFF / 28.7 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-3.0

DAL: 4-9-1 — NO: 6-8

Recent Form+3.0

DAL: -0.4 pts — NO: -3.3 pts

Strength of Schedule-0.5

DAL: .464 avg opp — NO: .626 avg opp

Team ADJ (historical)+3.0
Final SpreadDAL -2.5
Offense (Per Game)
DALSTATNO
19.8
PPG
29.2
165.4
Total YPG
279.2
123.5
Pass YPG
201.2
41.9
Rush YPG
78.0
0.7
Pass TD/G
1.6
0.6
Rush TD/G
0.9
0.5
TO/G
1.5
30.6%
3rd Down %
43.8%
57.1%
RZ TD %
44.6%
Defense (Per Game)
DALSTATNO
30.3
PPG Allowed
28.1
234.9
Total YPG
266.9
153.6
Pass YPG
183.0
81.3
Rush YPG
83.9
2.0
Sacks/G
2.2
0.6
INTs/G
1.1
0.7
Takeaways/G
2.3
0.1
FF/G
1.1
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

DAL

DAL Props

Total Points
25.0
Points Against (Def)
29.0
Pass Yards
235.0
passAttempts
31.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
85.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
19.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
320.0
Sacks Recorded
3.0
Turnovers
2.0
defPointsAgainst
29.0
defTackles
43.0
defSacks
3.0
defTFLs
6.0
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
0.0
defFumbleRecoveries
0.0
defTds
0.0
NO

NO Props

Total Points
30.5
Points Against (Def)
25.0
Pass Yards
265.0
passAttempts
36.0
passTds
2.0
Rush Yards
100.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
22.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
370.0
Sacks Recorded
4.0
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
25.0
defTackles
35.0
defSacks
4.0
defTFLs
7.0
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
1.5
defFumbleRecoveries
1.5
defTds
0.5
Key Matchup Edges
NO

Offense vs Defense

NO offense (279 YPG) vs DAL defense (235 YPG allowed)

NO

Turnover Battle

DAL: +3 | NO: +11

DAL

Home Field

DAL playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

DALDAL Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Zack Baun(LOLB)
80 OVR → 83-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

NONO Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Jonathan Turner(LT)
87 OVR → 94-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.

DALDAL Schedule

SOS: 0.505
Games Played468
Opponent Record1429W - 1399L
Opp Win %50.5%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

NONO Schedule

SOS: 0.505
Games Played467
Opponent Record1419W - 1392L
Opp Win %50.5%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.