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Week 16 Scores
INDIND
-
JAXJAX
-
IND -7.5O/U 54
Preview
MINMIN
31
BUFBUF
38
FINAL Box Score
NONO
-
DALDAL
-
DAL -2.5O/U 53.5
Preview
TBTB
-
BALBAL
-
BAL -4O/U 52.5
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
HOUHOU
-
NYJ -4O/U 48
Preview
SEASEA
-
MIAMIA
-
MIA -23O/U 55.5
Preview
PITPIT
27
CARCAR
10
FINAL Box Score
CHICHI
-
TENTEN
-
TEN -11.5O/U 51
Preview
NYGNYG
-
WASWAS
-
NYG -2O/U 52.5
Preview
GBGB
17
NENE
30
FINAL Box Score
LVLV
38
DENDEN
31
FINAL Box Score
CINCIN
-
KCKC
-
KC -8.5O/U 53
Preview
DETDET
37
ARIARI
19
FINAL Box Score
LARLAR
-
SFSF
-
SF -1.5O/U 57.5
Preview
ATLATL
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -20O/U 58
Preview
CLECLE
-
LACLAC
-
CLE -1.5O/U 55
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 16 Regular Season
WAS

Washington Commanders

(8-6) • Home

28.8PPG
27.1PA
VS
NYG

New York Giants

(8-6) • Away

26.4PPG
26.4PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
WASWAS2 out • 0.0 pts
Antonio Rice (LOLB)78 OVR
Bill Haden (TE)74 OVR
NYGNYG1 out • -0.1 pts
Mike Hall Jr (DT)91 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

NYG -2

SOS adj: -0.5

Base: -1.5

NYG favored

Money Line

WAS+125
NYG-125
Win Prob45% / 56%

Over/Under

55.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

28.5

WAS

27

NYG

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
85%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup0.0

WAS: 26.9 OFF / 27.5 DEF — NYG: 23.9 OFF / 24.9 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Recent Form-3.0

WAS: -11.1 pts — NYG: -8.0 pts

Strength of Schedule+0.5

WAS: .616 avg opp — NYG: .556 avg opp

Final SpreadNYG -2
Offense (Per Game)
WASSTATNYG
28.8
PPG
26.4
196.9
Total YPG
218.7
148.0
Pass YPG
135.1
48.9
Rush YPG
83.6
1.0
Pass TD/G
1.2
0.6
Rush TD/G
0.6
0.9
TO/G
0.8
37.6%
3rd Down %
36.4%
46.7%
RZ TD %
43.6%
Defense (Per Game)
WASSTATNYG
27.1
PPG Allowed
26.4
203.8
Total YPG
212.9
131.1
Pass YPG
146.1
72.6
Rush YPG
66.8
1.4
Sacks/G
2.1
0.6
INTs/G
0.5
0.6
Takeaways/G
0.9
0.0
FF/G
0.4
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

WAS

WAS Props

Total Points
30.5
Points Against (Def)
26.0
Pass Yards
260.0
passAttempts
35.0
passTds
1.5
Rush Yards
75.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
17.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
340.0
Sacks Recorded
3.0
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
26.0
defTackles
45.0
defSacks
3.0
defTFLs
5.5
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.0
NYG

NYG Props

Total Points
26.5
Points Against (Def)
29.0
Pass Yards
225.0
passAttempts
30.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
130.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
29.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
355.0
Sacks Recorded
3.0
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
29.0
defTackles
43.0
defSacks
3.0
defTFLs
5.5
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
1.0
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0
defTds
1.0
Key Matchup Edges
NYG

Turnover Battle

WAS: -4 | NYG: +2

NYG

Pass Rush

WAS: 1.4 sacks/g | NYG: 2.1 sacks/g

WAS

Home Field

WAS playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

WASWAS Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Antonio Rice(LOLB)
78 OVR → 86-0.0 pts
Bill Haden(TE)
74 OVR → 85-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

NYGNYG Injuries

-0.1 pts impact
Mike Hall Jr(DT)
91 OVR → 89-0.1 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.1
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by -0.5 points.

WASWAS Schedule

SOS: 0.505
Games Played467
Opponent Record1419W - 1393L
Opp Win %50.5%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

NYGNYG Schedule

SOS: 0.501
Games Played467
Opponent Record1408W - 1403L
Opp Win %50.1%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.