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Week 14 Scores
DALDAL
-
TENTEN
-
TEN -16O/U 52.5
Preview
MINMIN
-
DETDET
-
DET -9.5O/U 60
Preview
INDIND
-
HOUHOU
-
IND -13.5O/U 51.5
Preview
GBGB
-
CHICHI
-
CHI -3.5O/U 50
Preview
BALBAL
-
KCKC
-
BAL -2.5O/U 53.5
Preview
ATLATL
-
CARCAR
-
CAR -9O/U 55.5
Preview
CINCIN
-
PITPIT
-
PIT -1.5O/U 51.5
Preview
BUFBUF
-
LACLAC
-
LAC -2.5O/U 52.5
Preview
PHIPHI
-
JAXJAX
-
PHI -12.5O/U 57.5
Preview
CLECLE
-
NYJNYJ
-
NYJ -2.5O/U 49
Preview
LARLAR
-
SEASEA
-
LAR -5O/U 57
Preview
LVLV
-
SFSF
-
LV -4O/U 59
Preview
NENE
-
MIAMIA
-
NE -3.5O/U 54.5
Preview
DENDEN
-
ARIARI
-
ARI -16.5O/U 61.5
Preview
Back to Schedule
Week 14 Regular Season
SF

San Francisco 49ers

(8-4) • Home

28.5PPG
23.9PA
VS
LV

Las Vegas Raiders

(12-0) • Away

40.7PPG
16.5PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
SFSF2 out • 0.0 pts
Yetur Gross-Matos (LE)75 OVR
Yetur Gross-Matos (LE)75 OVR
LVLV1 out • 0.0 pts
Dylan Laube (HB)70 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

LV -4

LV favored

Money Line

SF+327
LV-327
Win Prob23% / 77%

Over/Under

55.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

24

SF

31.5

LV

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
92%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-10.5

SF: 30.5 OFF / 25.4 DEF — LV: 42.9 OFF / 17.3 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-10.0

SF: 8-4 — LV: 12-0

Recent Form+7.5

SF: +4.6 pts — LV: -2.9 pts

Team ADJ (historical)+4.0
Final SpreadLV -4
Offense (Per Game)
SFSTATLV
28.5
PPG
40.7
326.8
Total YPG
336.8
224.2
Pass YPG
235.6
102.6
Rush YPG
101.2
1.8
Pass TD/G
2.8
1.2
Rush TD/G
1.0
1.3
TO/G
0.4
51.2%
3rd Down %
60.7%
55.6%
RZ TD %
44.6%
Defense (Per Game)
SFSTATLV
23.9
PPG Allowed
16.5
287.3
Total YPG
216.1
196.2
Pass YPG
150.8
91.1
Rush YPG
65.3
4.0
Sacks/G
2.3
0.3
INTs/G
1.4
1.5
Takeaways/G
1.7
1.2
FF/G
0.3
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

SF

SF Props

Total Points
26.5
Points Against (Def)
31.5
Pass Yards
235.0
passAttempts
31.0
passTds
1.5
Rush Yards
95.0
rushTds
1.0
rushAttempts
21.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
330.0
Sacks Recorded
3.5
Turnovers
2.0
defPointsAgainst
31.5
defTackles
44.0
defSacks
3.5
defTFLs
6.0
defInterceptions
0.5
defForcedFumbles
1.5
defFumbleRecoveries
1.5
defTds
0.5
LV

LV Props

Total Points
36.0
Points Against (Def)
22.5
Pass Yards
295.0
passAttempts
40.0
passTds
2.0
Rush Yards
105.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
24.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
405.0
Sacks Recorded
3.5
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
22.5
defTackles
49.0
defSacks
3.5
defTFLs
6.5
defInterceptions
1.5
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.5
Key Matchup Edges
SF

Offense vs Defense

SF offense (327 YPG) vs LV defense (216 YPG allowed)

LV

Offense vs Defense

LV offense (337 YPG) vs SF defense (287 YPG allowed)

LV

Turnover Battle

SF: +2 | LV: +15

SF

Pass Rush

SF: 4.0 sacks/g | LV: 2.3 sacks/g

SF

Home Field

SF playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

SFSF Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Yetur Gross-Matos(LE)
75 OVR → 95-0.0 pts
Yetur Gross-Matos(LE)
75 OVR → 95-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

LVLV Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Dylan Laube(HB)
70 OVR → 75-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.

SFSF Schedule

SOS: 0.497
Games Played176
Opponent Record1068W - 1079L
Opp Win %49.7%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

LVLV Schedule

SOS: 0.496
Games Played176
Opponent Record1065W - 1081L
Opp Win %49.6%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.