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Week 13 Scores
CHICHI
-
MINMIN
-
MIN -20.5O/U 52.5
Preview
NENE
-
BUFBUF
-
NE -17O/U 54
Preview
CINCIN
-
BALBAL
-
BAL -6.5O/U 49
Preview
TBTB
-
ATLATL
-
TB -1O/U 58
Preview
CLECLE
-
PITPIT
-
CLE -11O/U 54
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
MIAMIA
-
NYJ -13.5O/U 49
Preview
DALDAL
-
NYGNYG
-
NYG -12O/U 51
Preview
CARCAR
-
WASWAS
-
CAR -9.5O/U 55
Preview
NONO
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -14O/U 59.5
Preview
LARLAR
-
ARIARI
-
LAR -0.5O/U 57.5
Preview
DENDEN
-
LVLV
-
LV -4.5O/U 62.5
Preview
DETDET
-
SEASEA
-
DET -2O/U 62
Preview
JAXJAX
-
HOUHOU
-
JAX -6.5O/U 54
Preview
LACLAC
-
KCKC
-
KC -3.5O/U 55
Preview
NFL Week 18
CAR logoCAR
14
TB logoTB
16
FINAL Box Score
SEA logoSEA
13
SF logoSF
3
FINAL Box Score
NO logoNO
17
ATL logoATL
19
FINAL Box Score
CLE logoCLE
20
CIN logoCIN
18
FINAL Box Score
GB logoGB
3
MIN logoMIN
16
FINAL Box Score
DAL logoDAL
17
NYG logoNYG
34
FINAL Box Score
TEN logoTEN
7
JAX logoJAX
41
FINAL Box Score
IND logoIND
30
HOU logoHOU
38
FINAL Box Score
NYJ logoNYJ
8
BUF logoBUF
35
FINAL Box Score
DET logoDET
19
CHI logoCHI
16
FINAL Box Score
LAC logoLAC
3
DEN logoDEN
19
FINAL Box Score
KC logoKC
12
LV logoLV
14
FINAL Box Score
ARI logoARI
20
LAR logoLAR
37
FINAL Box Score
MIA logoMIA
10
NE logoNE
38
FINAL Box Score
WSH logoWSH
24
PHI logoPHI
17
FINAL Box Score
BAL logoBAL
24
PIT logoPIT
26
FINAL Box Score
Back to Schedule
Week 13 Regular Season
HOU

Houston Texans

(2-9) • Home

20.8PPG
30.8PA
VS
JAX

Jacksonville Jaguars

(6-5) • Away

21.7PPG
28.5PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: -1 pts
HOUHOUHealthy

No key injuries reported

JAXJAX3 out • -0.8 pts
Max Bayer (HB)85 OVR
Brock Purdy (QB)86 OVR
Jon Lilley (WR)79 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

JAX -6.5

INJ adj: -1

ACC adj: +1.0

SOS adj: +0.5

Base: -7

JAX favored

Money Line

HOU+282
JAX-282
Win Prob26% / 74%

Over/Under

52.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

26

HOU

26.5

JAX

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
87%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-2.5

HOU: 22.4 OFF / 29.9 DEF — JAX: 26 OFF / 28.1 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-11.0

HOU: 2-9 — JAX: 6-5

Recent Form+2.0

HOU: +5.1 pts — JAX: +3.1 pts

Injury Impact+2.5

HOU: 0 out — JAX: 3 out

Team ADJ (historical)+1.0
Final SpreadJAX -6.5
Offense (Per Game)
HOUSTATJAX
20.8
PPG
21.7
233.1
Total YPG
317.4
180.6
Pass YPG
238.1
52.5
Rush YPG
79.3
1.5
Pass TD/G
2.0
0.3
Rush TD/G
0.5
1.2
TO/G
1.1
50.0%
3rd Down %
52.5%
50.0%
RZ TD %
44.7%
Defense (Per Game)
HOUSTATJAX
30.8
PPG Allowed
28.5
242.9
Total YPG
319.9
159.5
Pass YPG
209.3
83.5
Rush YPG
110.6
2.4
Sacks/G
2.2
0.2
INTs/G
0.9
0.3
Takeaways/G
1.6
0.1
FF/G
0.7
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

HOU

HOU Props

Total Points
25.0
Points Against (Def)
26.5
Pass Yards
255.0
passAttempts
34.0
passTds
1.5
Rush Yards
100.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
22.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
355.0
Sacks Recorded
3.0
Turnovers
2.0
defPointsAgainst
26.5
defTackles
30.0
defSacks
3.0
defTFLs
5.5
defInterceptions
0.5
defForcedFumbles
0.0
defFumbleRecoveries
0.0
defTds
0.0
JAX

JAX Props

Total Points
26.5
Points Against (Def)
24.0
Pass Yards
255.0
passAttempts
34.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
105.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
23.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
355.0
Sacks Recorded
2.5
Turnovers
1.0
defPointsAgainst
24.0
defTackles
43.0
defSacks
2.5
defTFLs
5.0
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
1.0
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0
defTds
0.5
Key Matchup Edges
JAX

Offense vs Defense

JAX offense (317 YPG) vs HOU defense (243 YPG allowed)

JAX

Turnover Battle

HOU: -10 | JAX: +6

HOU

Home Field

HOU playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by -1 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

JAXJAX Injuries

-0.8 pts impact
Max Bayer(HB)
85 OVR → 77-0.8 pts
Brock Purdy(QB)
86 OVR → 89-0.0 pts
Jon Lilley(WR)
79 OVR → 84-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.8
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.

HOUHOU Schedule

SOS: 0.503
Games Played159
Opponent Record896W - 885L
Opp Win %50.3%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

JAXJAX Schedule

SOS: 0.499
Games Played160
Opponent Record895W - 897L
Opp Win %49.9%
Spread Adj0.0 pts
Head-to-Head History
HOUJAX leads series 1-0JAX
Wk 6Reg
JAXJAX21
-
19HOUHOU

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.