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Back to Schedule
Week 13 Regular Season
PHI

Philadelphia Eagles

(10-1) • Home

40.0PPG
19.2PA
NO

New Orleans Saints

(6-6) • Away

31.0PPG
28.3PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: -0.5 pts
PHIPHI1 out • 0.0 pts
Smael Mondon Jr (LOLB)76 OVR
NONO2 out • -0.3 pts
Jason Lockhart (SS)93 OVR
Jonathan Turner (LT)87 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

PHI -14

INJ adj: -0.5

ACC adj: -1.5

SOS adj: +1

Base: +15

PHI favored

Money Line

PHI-921
NO+921
Win Prob90% / 10%

Over/Under

59.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

34

PHI

25.5

NO

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
95%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+8.5

PHI: 39.2 OFF / 19.8 DEF — NO: 29.8 OFF / 27.8 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+12.5

PHI: 10-1 — NO: 6-6

Recent Form-5.5

PHI: +0.2 pts — NO: +5.8 pts

Strength of Schedule-0.5

PHI: .497 avg opp — NO: .611 avg opp

Injury Impact+0.5

PHI: 1 out — NO: 2 out

Team ADJ (historical)-1.5
Final SpreadPHI -14
Offense (Per Game)
PHISTATNO
40.0
PPG
31.0
312.3
Total YPG
315.7
206.4
Pass YPG
225.3
105.9
Rush YPG
90.3
1.7
Pass TD/G
2.2
1.7
Rush TD/G
0.9
0.9
TO/G
1.7
51.0%
3rd Down %
46.7%
49.2%
RZ TD %
49.1%
Defense (Per Game)
PHISTATNO
19.2
PPG Allowed
28.3
307.8
Total YPG
303.2
217.2
Pass YPG
210.1
90.6
Rush YPG
93.1
4.2
Sacks/G
2.2
2.2
INTs/G
1.3
3.1
Takeaways/G
2.6
0.9
FF/G
1.3
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

PHI

PHI Props

Total Points
37.5
Points Against (Def)
22.0
Pass Yards
245.0
passAttempts
33.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
120.0
rushTds
1.0
rushAttempts
27.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
365.0
Sacks Recorded
3.5
Turnovers
2.0
defPointsAgainst
22.0
defTackles
42.0
defSacks
3.5
defTFLs
6.5
defInterceptions
2.0
defForcedFumbles
1.0
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0
defTds
2.0
NO

NO Props

Total Points
25.5
Points Against (Def)
33.5
Pass Yards
260.0
passAttempts
34.0
passTds
2.0
Rush Yards
95.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
22.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
355.0
Sacks Recorded
2.5
Turnovers
2.5
defPointsAgainst
33.5
defTackles
35.0
defSacks
2.5
defTFLs
5.0
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
1.5
defFumbleRecoveries
1.5
defTds
0.5
Key Matchup Edges
PHI

Turnover Battle

PHI: +24 | NO: +11

PHI

Pass Rush

PHI: 4.2 sacks/g | NO: 2.2 sacks/g

PHI

Home Field

PHI playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by -0.5 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

PHIPHI Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Smael Mondon Jr(LOLB)
76 OVR → 91-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

NONO Injuries

-0.3 pts impact
Jason Lockhart(SS)
93 OVR → 89-0.3 pts
Jonathan Turner(LT)
87 OVR → 94-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.3
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +1 points.

PHIPHI Schedule

SOS: 0.487
Games Played159
Opponent Record868W - 913L
Opp Win %48.7%
Spread Adj-0.1 pts

NONO Schedule

SOS: 0.505
Games Played159
Opponent Record899W - 880L
Opp Win %50.5%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.