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Week 13 Scores
CHICHI
-
MINMIN
-
MIN -20.5O/U 52.5
Preview
NENE
-
BUFBUF
-
NE -17O/U 54
Preview
CINCIN
-
BALBAL
-
BAL -6.5O/U 49
Preview
TBTB
-
ATLATL
-
TB -1O/U 58
Preview
CLECLE
-
PITPIT
-
CLE -11O/U 54
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
MIAMIA
-
NYJ -13.5O/U 49
Preview
DALDAL
-
NYGNYG
-
NYG -12O/U 51
Preview
CARCAR
-
WASWAS
-
CAR -9.5O/U 55
Preview
NONO
-
PHIPHI
-
PHI -14O/U 59.5
Preview
LARLAR
-
ARIARI
-
LAR -0.5O/U 57.5
Preview
DENDEN
-
LVLV
-
LV -4.5O/U 62.5
Preview
DETDET
-
SEASEA
-
DET -2O/U 62
Preview
JAXJAX
-
HOUHOU
-
JAX -6.5O/U 54
Preview
LACLAC
-
KCKC
-
KC -3.5O/U 55
Preview
NFL Week 18
CAR logoCAR
14
TB logoTB
16
FINAL Box Score
SEA logoSEA
13
SF logoSF
3
FINAL Box Score
NO logoNO
17
ATL logoATL
19
FINAL Box Score
CLE logoCLE
20
CIN logoCIN
18
FINAL Box Score
GB logoGB
3
MIN logoMIN
16
FINAL Box Score
DAL logoDAL
17
NYG logoNYG
34
FINAL Box Score
TEN logoTEN
7
JAX logoJAX
41
FINAL Box Score
IND logoIND
30
HOU logoHOU
38
FINAL Box Score
NYJ logoNYJ
8
BUF logoBUF
35
FINAL Box Score
DET logoDET
19
CHI logoCHI
16
FINAL Box Score
LAC logoLAC
3
DEN logoDEN
19
FINAL Box Score
KC logoKC
12
LV logoLV
14
FINAL Box Score
ARI logoARI
20
LAR logoLAR
37
FINAL Box Score
MIA logoMIA
10
NE logoNE
38
FINAL Box Score
WSH logoWSH
24
PHI logoPHI
17
FINAL Box Score
BAL logoBAL
24
PIT logoPIT
26
FINAL Box Score
Back to Schedule
Week 13 Regular Season
ATL

Atlanta Falcons

(5-5) • Home

27.2PPG
28.8PA
VS
TB

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(9-3) • Away

33.7PPG
23.9PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: -1 pts
ATLATL3 out • 0.0 pts
Alec Pierce (WR)84 OVR
Tyree Dunlap (DT)81 OVR
Tomas Alvarez (TE)73 OVR
TBTB1 out • -1.1 pts
Bucky Irving (HB)93 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

TB -1

INJ adj: -1

ACC adj: +1.5

SOS adj: +0.5

Base: -2

TB favored

Money Line

ATL+134
TB-134
Win Prob43% / 57%

Over/Under

57.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

27

ATL

30.5

TB

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
84%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-3.5

ATL: 29.3 OFF / 29.5 DEF — TB: 31.3 OFF / 24.1 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-7.5

ATL: 5-5-1 — TB: 9-3

Recent Form+6.5

ATL: +3.5 pts — TB: -2.9 pts

Strength of Schedule-0.5

ATL: .417 avg opp — TB: .507 avg opp

Injury Impact+0.5

ATL: 3 out — TB: 1 out

Team ADJ (historical)+1.5
Final SpreadTB -1
Offense (Per Game)
ATLSTATTB
27.2
PPG
33.7
339.2
Total YPG
342.8
229.7
Pass YPG
206.5
109.5
Rush YPG
136.3
2.4
Pass TD/G
1.3
0.6
Rush TD/G
1.4
1.2
TO/G
1.8
44.8%
3rd Down %
49.2%
42.6%
RZ TD %
42.9%
Defense (Per Game)
ATLSTATTB
28.8
PPG Allowed
23.9
344.3
Total YPG
269.6
239.3
Pass YPG
187.9
105.0
Rush YPG
81.7
3.2
Sacks/G
5.3
0.3
INTs/G
1.0
0.7
Takeaways/G
1.8
0.5
FF/G
0.8
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

ATL

ATL Props

Total Points
28.5
Points Against (Def)
29.5
Pass Yards
235.0
passAttempts
31.0
passTds
1.5
Rush Yards
110.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
25.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
345.0
Sacks Recorded
3.0
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
29.5
defTackles
48.0
defSacks
3.0
defTFLs
5.5
defInterceptions
0.5
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.0
TB

TB Props

Total Points
31.5
Points Against (Def)
26.0
Pass Yards
230.0
passAttempts
31.0
passTds
0.5
Rush Yards
140.0
rushTds
1.0
rushAttempts
31.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
370.0
Sacks Recorded
5.0
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
26.0
defTackles
40.0
defSacks
5.0
defTFLs
9.5
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
1.0
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0
defTds
1.0
Key Matchup Edges
ATL

Offense vs Defense

ATL offense (339 YPG) vs TB defense (270 YPG allowed)

TB

Turnover Battle

ATL: -5 | TB: 0

TB

Pass Rush

ATL: 3.2 sacks/g | TB: 5.3 sacks/g

ATL

Home Field

ATL playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by -1 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

ATLATL Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Alec Pierce(WR)
84 OVR → 94-0.0 pts
Tyree Dunlap(DT)
81 OVR → 92-0.0 pts
Tomas Alvarez(TE)
73 OVR → 87-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

TBTB Injuries

-1.1 pts impact
Bucky Irving(HB)
93 OVR → 82-1.1 pts
OFF impact: -1.1
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.

ATLATL Schedule

SOS: 0.501
Games Played159
Opponent Record897W - 893L
Opp Win %50.1%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

TBTB Schedule

SOS: 0.495
Games Played160
Opponent Record884W - 901L
Opp Win %49.5%
Spread Adj0.0 pts
Head-to-Head History
ATLTB leads series 1-0TB
Wk 4Reg
TBTB38
-
31ATLATL

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.