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NE leads series 1-0
Week 12 Regular Season
FINAL — Prediction vs Result
SPREAD
Predicted
+6.5
Actual
+24
Dev: 17.5
OVER/UNDER
Predicted
54.0
Actual
50
Dev: 4.0
UNDERTEAM O/U
NE30.3→37
TEN23.8→13
Game Projections
Spread
NE -6.5
ACC adj: -4.0
SOS adj: -1
Base: +6.5
NE favored
Money Line
NE-262
TEN+262
Win Prob72% / 28%
Over/Under
54
Combined projected points
Team O/U
29
NE
25
TEN
Offense (Per Game)
NESTATTEN
29.3
PPG
27.5
303.6
Total YPG
301.0
175.8
Pass YPG
209.9
127.8
Rush YPG
91.1
1.5
Pass TD/G
1.6
1.3
Rush TD/G
1.0
1.0
TO/G
1.1
48.9%
3rd Down %
46.6%
40.0%
RZ TD %
50.0%
Defense (Per Game)
NESTATTEN
21.7
PPG Allowed
26.9
260.9
Total YPG
293.0
182.3
Pass YPG
202.8
78.6
Rush YPG
90.2
2.1
Sacks/G
2.4
1.5
INTs/G
0.8
1.5
Takeaways/G
1.2
0.0
FF/G
0.4
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
NE Props
Total Points
31.5/37(5.5)
Points Against (Def)
24.0/13(11.0)
Pass Yards
235.0/168(67.0)
passAttempts
31.0/24(7.0)
passTds
1.0/0(1.0)
Rush Yards
125.0/235(110.0)
rushTds
1.0/3(2.0)
rushAttempts
28.0/24(4.0)
fgMade
0.0/3(3.0)
Total Yards
360.0/403(43.0)
Sacks Recorded
2.5/3(0.5)
Turnovers
1.5/0(1.5)
defPointsAgainst
24.0/13(11.0)
defTackles
41.0/30(11.0)
defSacks
2.5/3(0.5)
defTFLs
5.0/5(0.4)
defInterceptions
1.0/3(2.0)
defForcedFumbles
0.0/0(0.0)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.0/0(0.0)
defTds
0.5/1(0.5)
TEN Props
Total Points
26.0/13(13.0)
Points Against (Def)
29.5/37(7.5)
Pass Yards
245.0/229(16.0)
passAttempts
33.0/39(6.0)
passTds
1.0/1(0.0)
Rush Yards
110.0/69(41.0)
rushTds
1.0/0(1.0)
rushAttempts
24.0/18(6.0)
fgMade
0.0/2(2.0)
Total Yards
350.0/298(52.0)
Sacks Recorded
2.5/4(1.5)
Turnovers
1.5/3(1.5)
defPointsAgainst
29.5/37(7.5)
defTackles
31.0/35(4.0)
defSacks
2.5/4(1.5)
defTFLs
4.5/7(2.7)
defInterceptions
1.0/0(1.0)
defForcedFumbles
0.5/0(0.5)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5/0(0.5)
defTds
0.0/0(0.0)
Key Matchup Edges
TEN
Offense vs Defense
TEN offense (301 YPG) vs NE defense (261 YPG allowed)
NE
Turnover Battle
NE: +5 | TEN: +1
NE
Home Field
NE playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Head-to-Head History
NE leads series 1-0Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.