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Week 12 Scores
SEASEA
-
CHICHI
-
SEA -24O/U 53.5
Preview
CARCAR
-
CINCIN
-
CAR -3O/U 49.5
Preview
WASWAS
-
HOUHOU
-
HOU -0.5O/U 56
Preview
PHIPHI
-
TBTB
-
PHI -8.5O/U 59
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
BUFBUF
-
NYJ -22.5O/U 47.5
Preview
LARLAR
-
GBGB
-
LAR -26O/U 55.5
Preview
MINMIN
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -14O/U 53
Preview
NYGNYG
-
SFSF
-
NYG -1.5O/U 56.5
Preview
KCKC
-
ARIARI
-
ARI -14O/U 55
Preview
PITPIT
-
LACLAC
-
PIT -5O/U 55
Preview
NONO
-
DENDEN
-
DEN -18O/U 61.5
Preview
BALBAL
-
CLECLE
-
PKO/U 52
Preview
MIAMIA
34
DETDET
30
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
DALDAL
-
IND -12O/U 53
Preview
TENTEN
13
NENE
37
FINAL Box Score
Back to Schedule
Week 12 Regular Season
DAL

Dallas Cowboys

(3-6) • Home

19.8PPG
32.5PA
VS
IND

Indianapolis Colts

(7-4) • Away

25.5PPG
26.7PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
DALDALHealthy

No key injuries reported

INDIND3 out • 0.0 pts
Emeka Egbuka (WR)90 OVR
Tank Dell (WR)84 OVR
Christian McCaffrey (HB)79 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

IND -12

ACC adj: +2.5

SOS adj: +1

Base: -15.5

IND favored

Money Line

DAL+991
IND-991
Win Prob9% / 91%

Over/Under

53.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

25

DAL

28.5

IND

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
95%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-4.5

DAL: 21.4 OFF / 30.7 DEF — IND: 25.7 OFF / 26.2 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-8.5

DAL: 3-6-1 — IND: 7-4

Recent Form-7.0

DAL: -6.2 pts — IND: +0.7 pts

Strength of Schedule-0.5

DAL: .470 avg opp — IND: .605 avg opp

Injury Impact+1.5

DAL: 0 out — IND: 3 out

Team ADJ (historical)+2.5
Final SpreadIND -12
Offense (Per Game)
DALSTATIND
19.8
PPG
25.5
196.7
Total YPG
322.7
148.5
Pass YPG
234.0
48.2
Rush YPG
88.7
0.9
Pass TD/G
1.8
0.7
Rush TD/G
0.6
0.6
TO/G
2.1
30.0%
3rd Down %
58.1%
73.3%
RZ TD %
44.7%
Defense (Per Game)
DALSTATIND
32.5
PPG Allowed
26.7
248.7
Total YPG
260.5
171.8
Pass YPG
186.5
76.9
Rush YPG
73.9
2.7
Sacks/G
3.5
0.7
INTs/G
0.1
0.7
Takeaways/G
0.9
0.0
FF/G
0.8
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

DAL

DAL Props

Total Points
24.5
Points Against (Def)
27.5
Pass Yards
220.0
passAttempts
29.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
75.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
17.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
295.0
Sacks Recorded
3.5
Turnovers
1.0
defPointsAgainst
27.5
defTackles
43.0
defSacks
3.5
defTFLs
6.0
defInterceptions
1.5
defForcedFumbles
0.0
defFumbleRecoveries
0.0
defTds
0.0
IND

IND Props

Total Points
28.0
Points Against (Def)
24.0
Pass Yards
270.0
passAttempts
36.0
passTds
1.5
Rush Yards
110.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
24.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
380.0
Sacks Recorded
4.5
Turnovers
2.0
defPointsAgainst
24.0
defTackles
39.0
defSacks
4.5
defTFLs
8.5
defInterceptions
0.5
defForcedFumbles
1.0
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0
defTds
1.0
Key Matchup Edges
IND

Offense vs Defense

IND offense (323 YPG) vs DAL defense (249 YPG allowed)

DAL

Turnover Battle

DAL: +1 | IND: -13

IND

Pass Rush

DAL: 2.7 sacks/g | IND: 3.5 sacks/g

DAL

Home Field

DAL playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

INDIND Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Emeka Egbuka(WR)
90 OVR → 93-0.0 pts
Tank Dell(WR)
84 OVR → 93-0.0 pts
Christian McCaffrey(HB)
79 OVR → 86-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +1 points.

DALDAL Schedule

SOS: 0.507
Games Played151
Opponent Record798W - 777L
Opp Win %50.7%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

INDIND Schedule

SOS: 0.504
Games Played150
Opponent Record785W - 773L
Opp Win %50.4%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.