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Week 12 Scores
SEASEA
-
CHICHI
-
SEA -24O/U 53.5
Preview
CARCAR
-
CINCIN
-
CAR -3O/U 49.5
Preview
WASWAS
-
HOUHOU
-
HOU -0.5O/U 56
Preview
PHIPHI
-
TBTB
-
PHI -8.5O/U 59
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
BUFBUF
-
NYJ -22.5O/U 47.5
Preview
LARLAR
-
GBGB
-
LAR -26O/U 55.5
Preview
MINMIN
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -14O/U 53
Preview
NYGNYG
-
SFSF
-
NYG -1.5O/U 56.5
Preview
KCKC
-
ARIARI
-
ARI -14O/U 55
Preview
PITPIT
-
LACLAC
-
PIT -5O/U 55
Preview
NONO
-
DENDEN
-
DEN -18O/U 61.5
Preview
BALBAL
-
CLECLE
-
PKO/U 52
Preview
MIAMIA
34
DETDET
30
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
DALDAL
-
IND -12O/U 53
Preview
TENTEN
13
NENE
37
FINAL Box Score
Back to Schedule
Week 12 Regular Season
ARI

Arizona Cardinals

(4-6) • Home

26.6PPG
31.0PA
VS
KC

Kansas City Chiefs

(2-8) • Away

20.4PPG
37.0PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: +0.5 pts
ARIARI2 out • -0.5 pts
Cole Kmet (TE)83 OVR
Alijah Vera-Tucker (RG)87 OVR
KCKC2 out • 0.0 pts
Manuel Jimenez (WR)80 OVR
Jeremiah Stevens (QB)73 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

ARI -14

INJ adj: +0.5

ACC adj: -1.0

SOS adj: +1

Base: +13.5

ARI favored

Money Line

ARI-737
KC+737
Win Prob88% / 12%

Over/Under

58

Combined projected points

Team O/U

32

ARI

26

KC

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
98%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup+5.5

ARI: 26 OFF / 28.7 DEF — KC: 19.9 OFF / 33.4 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate+6.0

ARI: 4-6 — KC: 2-8

Recent Form+2.5

ARI: +10.4 pts — KC: +8.1 pts

Strength of Schedule-0.5

ARI: .435 avg opp — KC: .556 avg opp

Team ADJ (historical)-1.0
Final SpreadARI -14
Offense (Per Game)
ARISTATKC
26.6
PPG
20.4
264.3
Total YPG
228.9
189.1
Pass YPG
161.3
75.2
Rush YPG
67.6
1.4
Pass TD/G
1.5
1.0
Rush TD/G
0.2
1.5
TO/G
1.1
53.5%
3rd Down %
38.5%
43.8%
RZ TD %
48.3%
Defense (Per Game)
ARISTATKC
31.0
PPG Allowed
37.0
230.9
Total YPG
354.3
156.5
Pass YPG
243.6
74.4
Rush YPG
110.7
1.5
Sacks/G
3.1
0.5
INTs/G
1.0
0.8
Takeaways/G
1.3
0.3
FF/G
0.3
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

ARI

ARI Props

Total Points
30.5
Points Against (Def)
23.5
Pass Yards
285.0
passAttempts
38.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
120.0
rushTds
1.0
rushAttempts
26.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
405.0
Sacks Recorded
3.5
Turnovers
2.0
defPointsAgainst
23.5
defTackles
45.0
defSacks
3.5
defTFLs
6.5
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.0
KC

KC Props

Total Points
23.0
Points Against (Def)
31.0
Pass Yards
205.0
passAttempts
27.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
90.0
rushTds
0.0
rushAttempts
20.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
295.0
Sacks Recorded
2.5
Turnovers
1.0
defPointsAgainst
31.0
defTackles
49.0
defSacks
2.5
defTFLs
5.0
defInterceptions
1.5
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.5
Key Matchup Edges
KC

Turnover Battle

ARI: -7 | KC: +2

KC

Pass Rush

ARI: 1.5 sacks/g | KC: 3.1 sacks/g

ARI

Home Field

ARI playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by +0.5 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

ARIARI Injuries

-0.5 pts impact
Cole Kmet(TE)
83 OVR → 78-0.4 pts
Alijah Vera-Tucker(RG)
87 OVR → 85-0.1 pts
OFF impact: -0.5
DEF impact: -0.0

KCKC Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Manuel Jimenez(WR)
80 OVR → 93-0.0 pts
Jeremiah Stevens(QB)
73 OVR → 81-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +1 points.

ARIARI Schedule

SOS: 0.504
Games Played150
Opponent Record786W - 774L
Opp Win %50.4%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

KCKC Schedule

SOS: 0.517
Games Played150
Opponent Record807W - 754L
Opp Win %51.7%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.