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Week 12 Scores
SEASEA
-
CHICHI
-
SEA -24O/U 53.5
Preview
CARCAR
-
CINCIN
-
CAR -3O/U 49.5
Preview
WASWAS
-
HOUHOU
-
HOU -0.5O/U 56
Preview
PHIPHI
-
TBTB
-
PHI -8.5O/U 59
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
BUFBUF
-
NYJ -22.5O/U 47.5
Preview
LARLAR
-
GBGB
-
LAR -26O/U 55.5
Preview
MINMIN
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -14O/U 53
Preview
NYGNYG
-
SFSF
-
NYG -1.5O/U 56.5
Preview
KCKC
-
ARIARI
-
ARI -14O/U 55
Preview
PITPIT
-
LACLAC
-
PIT -5O/U 55
Preview
NONO
-
DENDEN
-
DEN -18O/U 61.5
Preview
BALBAL
-
CLECLE
-
PKO/U 52
Preview
MIAMIA
34
DETDET
30
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
DALDAL
-
IND -12O/U 53
Preview
TENTEN
13
NENE
37
FINAL Box Score
Back to Schedule
Week 12 Regular Season
CIN

Cincinnati Bengals

(2-8) • Home

14.7PPG
28.1PA
VS
CAR

Carolina Panthers

(4-6) • Away

22.5PPG
27.9PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
CINCIN2 out • -0.2 pts
Otis Hall (HB)82 OVR
Dalton Kincaid (TE)82 OVR
CARCARHealthy

No key injuries reported

Game Projections

Spread

CAR -3

ACC adj: +1.0

SOS adj: -0.5

Base: -3.5

CAR favored

Money Line

CIN+168
CAR-168
Win Prob37% / 63%

Over/Under

48.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

23

CIN

25.5

CAR

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
84%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-3.5

CIN: 17.2 OFF / 29.1 DEF — CAR: 22.9 OFF / 28.2 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-6.0

CIN: 2-8 — CAR: 4-6

Recent Form+4.5

CIN: +2.4 pts — CAR: -2.0 pts

Strength of Schedule+0.5

CIN: .538 avg opp — CAR: .462 avg opp

Injury Impact-1.0

CIN: 2 out — CAR: 0 out

Team ADJ (historical)+1.0
Final SpreadCAR -3
Offense (Per Game)
CINSTATCAR
14.7
PPG
22.5
292.6
Total YPG
270.1
234.5
Pass YPG
183.4
58.1
Rush YPG
86.7
1.1
Pass TD/G
1.3
0.7
Rush TD/G
1.1
1.7
TO/G
2.3
39.2%
3rd Down %
37.8%
41.4%
RZ TD %
52.9%
Defense (Per Game)
CINSTATCAR
28.1
PPG Allowed
27.9
315.4
Total YPG
299.4
222.7
Pass YPG
188.5
92.7
Rush YPG
110.9
3.4
Sacks/G
3.7
0.3
INTs/G
0.7
0.6
Takeaways/G
1.2
0.3
FF/G
0.5
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

CIN

CIN Props

Total Points
22.5
Points Against (Def)
25.0
Pass Yards
240.0
passAttempts
32.0
passTds
0.5
Rush Yards
90.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
20.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
330.0
Sacks Recorded
5.0
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
25.0
defTackles
38.0
defSacks
5.0
defTFLs
9.5
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.0
CAR

CAR Props

Total Points
25.0
Points Against (Def)
23.5
Pass Yards
220.0
passAttempts
29.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
100.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
22.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
320.0
Sacks Recorded
4.0
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
23.5
defTackles
44.0
defSacks
4.0
defTFLs
7.5
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.5
Key Matchup Edges
CIN

Home Field

CIN playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

CINCIN Injuries

-0.2 pts impact
Otis Hall(HB)
82 OVR → 81-0.1 pts
Dalton Kincaid(TE)
82 OVR → 81-0.1 pts
OFF impact: -0.2
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by -0.5 points.

CINCIN Schedule

SOS: 0.519
Games Played150
Opponent Record811W - 752L
Opp Win %51.9%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

CARCAR Schedule

SOS: 0.511
Games Played150
Opponent Record798W - 763L
Opp Win %51.1%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.