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Week 12 Scores
SEASEA
-
CHICHI
-
SEA -24O/U 53.5
Preview
CARCAR
-
CINCIN
-
CAR -3O/U 49.5
Preview
WASWAS
-
HOUHOU
-
HOU -0.5O/U 56
Preview
PHIPHI
-
TBTB
-
PHI -8.5O/U 59
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
BUFBUF
-
NYJ -22.5O/U 47.5
Preview
LARLAR
-
GBGB
-
LAR -26O/U 55.5
Preview
MINMIN
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -14O/U 53
Preview
NYGNYG
-
SFSF
-
NYG -1.5O/U 56.5
Preview
KCKC
-
ARIARI
-
ARI -14O/U 55
Preview
PITPIT
-
LACLAC
-
PIT -5O/U 55
Preview
NONO
-
DENDEN
-
DEN -18O/U 61.5
Preview
BALBAL
-
CLECLE
-
PKO/U 52
Preview
MIAMIA
34
DETDET
30
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
DALDAL
-
IND -12O/U 53
Preview
TENTEN
13
NENE
37
FINAL Box Score
Back to Schedule
Week 12 Regular Season
LAC

Los Angeles Chargers

(1-9) • Home

17.7PPG
35.0PA
VS
PIT

Pittsburgh Steelers

(3-7) • Away

23.5PPG
28.2PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
LACLAC2 out • 0.0 pts
Lathan Ransom (SS)80 OVR
Keelan Maynard (WR)80 OVR
PITPIT3 out • -0.1 pts
Andrew Manuel (REDGE)93 OVR
Jack Barlow (WR)86 OVR
Miguel Solano (RG)79 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

PIT -5

SOS adj: +0.5

Base: -5.5

PIT favored

Money Line

LAC+226
PIT-226
Win Prob31% / 69%

Over/Under

53.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

24.5

LAC

29

PIT

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
88%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-2.0

LAC: 19.5 OFF / 33.3 DEF — PIT: 22.4 OFF / 32.5 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-6.0

LAC: 1-9 — PIT: 3-7

Recent Form+1.0

LAC: -2.9 pts — PIT: -3.9 pts

Injury Impact+0.5

LAC: 2 out — PIT: 3 out

Final SpreadPIT -5
Offense (Per Game)
LACSTATPIT
17.7
PPG
23.5
225.6
Total YPG
272.0
147.0
Pass YPG
208.4
78.6
Rush YPG
63.6
1.1
Pass TD/G
1.7
0.3
Rush TD/G
0.6
1.9
TO/G
1.3
33.7%
3rd Down %
47.8%
43.5%
RZ TD %
54.5%
Defense (Per Game)
LACSTATPIT
35.0
PPG Allowed
28.2
328.4
Total YPG
319.2
198.9
Pass YPG
209.7
129.5
Rush YPG
109.5
2.6
Sacks/G
3.5
1.0
INTs/G
0.3
1.1
Takeaways/G
0.7
0.1
FF/G
0.4
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

LAC

LAC Props

Total Points
26.0
Points Against (Def)
27.5
Pass Yards
215.0
passAttempts
29.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
115.0
rushTds
0.0
rushAttempts
25.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
330.0
Sacks Recorded
2.5
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
27.5
defTackles
44.0
defSacks
2.5
defTFLs
5.0
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
0.0
defFumbleRecoveries
0.0
defTds
0.5
PIT

PIT Props

Total Points
26.5
Points Against (Def)
27.5
Pass Yards
255.0
passAttempts
34.0
passTds
1.5
Rush Yards
110.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
25.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
370.0
Sacks Recorded
5.5
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
27.5
defTackles
29.0
defSacks
5.5
defTFLs
9.5
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.0
Key Matchup Edges
PIT

Pass Rush

LAC: 2.6 sacks/g | PIT: 3.5 sacks/g

LAC

Home Field

LAC playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

LACLAC Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Lathan Ransom(SS)
80 OVR → 89-0.0 pts
Keelan Maynard(WR)
80 OVR → 84-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0

PITPIT Injuries

-0.1 pts impact
Andrew Manuel(REDGE)
93 OVR → 92-0.1 pts
Jack Barlow(WR)
86 OVR → 93-0.0 pts
Miguel Solano(RG)
79 OVR → 79-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.1
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.

LACLAC Schedule

SOS: 0.520
Games Played150
Opponent Record811W - 750L
Opp Win %52.0%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

PITPIT Schedule

SOS: 0.510
Games Played150
Opponent Record796W - 765L
Opp Win %51.0%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.