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Week 12 Scores
SEASEA
-
CHICHI
-
SEA -24O/U 53.5
Preview
CARCAR
-
CINCIN
-
CAR -3O/U 49.5
Preview
WASWAS
-
HOUHOU
-
HOU -0.5O/U 56
Preview
PHIPHI
-
TBTB
-
PHI -8.5O/U 59
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
BUFBUF
-
NYJ -22.5O/U 47.5
Preview
LARLAR
-
GBGB
-
LAR -26O/U 55.5
Preview
MINMIN
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -14O/U 53
Preview
NYGNYG
-
SFSF
-
NYG -1.5O/U 56.5
Preview
KCKC
-
ARIARI
-
ARI -14O/U 55
Preview
PITPIT
-
LACLAC
-
PIT -5O/U 55
Preview
NONO
-
DENDEN
-
DEN -18O/U 61.5
Preview
BALBAL
-
CLECLE
-
PKO/U 52
Preview
MIAMIA
34
DETDET
30
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
DALDAL
-
IND -12O/U 53
Preview
TENTEN
13
NENE
37
FINAL Box Score
Back to Schedule
Week 12 Regular Season
CLE

Cleveland Browns

(5-5) • Home

25.3PPG
24.8PA
VS
BAL

Baltimore Ravens

(6-4) • Away

23.4PPG
24.1PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: +2 pts
CLECLE2 out • -2.7 pts
Ashton Jeanty (HB)99 OVR
Jeremy Day (REDGE)88 OVR
BALBAL2 out • -0.6 pts
Vince Hurd (LT)80 OVR
Landon Jackson (REDGE)88 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

PICK

INJ adj: +2

ACC adj: +2.0

SOS adj: +1.5

Base: -5.5

Even

Money Line

CLE+226
BAL-226
Win Prob31% / 69%

Over/Under

50.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

26

CLE

24.5

BAL

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
93%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-0.5

CLE: 25.6 OFF / 26.4 DEF — BAL: 25.1 OFF / 24.6 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-3.0

CLE: 5-5 — BAL: 6-4

Recent Form-2.5

CLE: -6.8 pts — BAL: -4.5 pts

Strength of Schedule-1.0

CLE: .367 avg opp — BAL: .581 avg opp

Injury Impact-1.5

CLE: 2 out — BAL: 2 out

Team ADJ (historical)+2.0
Final SpreadPICK
Offense (Per Game)
CLESTATBAL
25.3
PPG
23.4
291.2
Total YPG
222.2
192.0
Pass YPG
139.4
99.2
Rush YPG
82.8
0.8
Pass TD/G
1.1
1.3
Rush TD/G
0.8
1.7
TO/G
1.0
44.7%
3rd Down %
40.9%
43.2%
RZ TD %
55.6%
Defense (Per Game)
CLESTATBAL
24.8
PPG Allowed
24.1
283.3
Total YPG
214.5
210.6
Pass YPG
149.2
72.7
Rush YPG
65.3
2.6
Sacks/G
2.4
0.6
INTs/G
0.3
1.3
Takeaways/G
1.0
0.7
FF/G
0.7
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

CLE

CLE Props

Total Points
26.5
Points Against (Def)
24.0
Pass Yards
230.0
passAttempts
31.0
passTds
0.5
Rush Yards
110.0
rushTds
1.0
rushAttempts
25.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
340.0
Sacks Recorded
3.5
Turnovers
2.0
defPointsAgainst
24.0
defTackles
47.0
defSacks
3.5
defTFLs
6.5
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
1.0
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0
defTds
0.0
BAL

BAL Props

Total Points
25.5
Points Against (Def)
25.0
Pass Yards
225.0
passAttempts
30.0
passTds
1.0
Rush Yards
105.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
24.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
330.0
Sacks Recorded
4.5
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
25.0
defTackles
32.0
defSacks
4.5
defTFLs
8.0
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
1.0
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0
defTds
0.5
Key Matchup Edges
CLE

Offense vs Defense

CLE offense (291 YPG) vs BAL defense (215 YPG allowed)

BAL

Turnover Battle

CLE: -4 | BAL: 0

CLE

Home Field

CLE playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by +2 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

CLECLE Injuries

-2.7 pts impact
Ashton Jeanty(HB)
99 OVR → 77-2.3 pts
Jeremy Day(REDGE)
88 OVR → 84-0.4 pts
OFF impact: -2.3
DEF impact: -0.4

BALBAL Injuries

-0.6 pts impact
Vince Hurd(LT)
80 OVR → 74-0.5 pts
Landon Jackson(REDGE)
88 OVR → 87-0.1 pts
OFF impact: -0.5
DEF impact: -0.1
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +1.5 points.

CLECLE Schedule

SOS: 0.499
Games Played150
Opponent Record780W - 782L
Opp Win %49.9%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

BALBAL Schedule

SOS: 0.504
Games Played151
Opponent Record791W - 780L
Opp Win %50.4%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.