Golden Goose

Back to Schedule

Week 12 Regular Season

Seattle Seahawks

(7-3) • Away

37.5PPG

23.4PA

KEY INJURIESSpread impact: +1 pts

CHI1 out • -1.1 pts

Elias Castro (HB)80 OVR

SEA3 out • 0.0 pts

Tucker Kraft (TE)88 OVR

Josh Justice (WR)82 OVR

Romeo Faulk (DT)77 OVR

Game Projections

Spread

SEA -24

INJ adj: +1

ACC adj: +8.0

Base: -33

SEA favored

Money Line

CHI+10000

SEA-10000

Win Prob1% / 99%

Over/Under

55.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

20.5

CHI

SEA

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH

98%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-17.0

CHI: 13.8 OFF / 33.3 DEF — SEA: 36.6 OFF / 21.8 DEF

Home Field-1.0

Win Rate-21.0

CHI: 0-10 — SEA: 7-3

Recent Form-4.5

CHI: -0.1 pts — SEA: +4.2 pts

Injury Impact+0.5

CHI: 1 out — SEA: 3 out

Team ADJ (historical)+8.0

Final SpreadSEA -24

Offense (Per Game)

CHISTATSEA

12.4

PPG

37.5

193.2

Total YPG

307.3

137.7

Pass YPG

166.1

55.5

Rush YPG

141.2

1.0

Pass TD/G

2.4

0.1

Rush TD/G

1.3

1.7

TO/G

0.8

28.6%

3rd Down %

57.1%

47.4%

RZ TD %

58.7%

Defense (Per Game)

CHISTATSEA

35.3

PPG Allowed

23.4

270.6

Total YPG

263.6

177.5

Pass YPG

204.3

93.1

Rush YPG

59.3

2.9

Sacks/G

3.2

0.5

INTs/G

2.3

0.8

Takeaways/G

2.6

0.3

FF/G

0.3

Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

CHI Props

Total Points

17.5

Points Against (Def)

33.5

Pass Yards

210.0

passAttempts

28.0

passTds

1.0

Rush Yards

70.0

rushTds

0.0

rushAttempts

16.0

fgMade

0.0

Total Yards

280.0

Sacks Recorded

2.5

Turnovers

2.5

defPointsAgainst

33.5

defTackles

46.0

defSacks

2.5

defTFLs

4.5

defInterceptions

0.5

defForcedFumbles

0.5

defFumbleRecoveries

0.5

defTds

0.0

SEA Props

Total Points

36.0

Points Against (Def)

18.0

Pass Yards

210.0

passAttempts

28.0

passTds

1.5

Rush Yards

150.0

rushTds

1.0

rushAttempts

33.0

fgMade

0.0

Total Yards

360.0

Sacks Recorded

5.5

Turnovers

1.0

defPointsAgainst

18.0

defTackles

36.0

defSacks

5.5

defTFLs

9.5

defInterceptions

2.0

defForcedFumbles

0.5

defFumbleRecoveries

0.5

defTds

0.5

Key Matchup Edges

SEA

Offense vs Defense

SEA offense (307 YPG) vs CHI defense (271 YPG allowed)

SEA

Turnover Battle

CHI: -9 | SEA: +18

CHI

Home Field

CHI playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by +1 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

CHI Injuries

-1.1 pts impact

Elias Castro(HB)

80 OVR → 68-1.1 pts

OFF impact: -1.1

DEF impact: -0.0

SEA Injuries

0.0 pts impact

Tucker Kraft(TE)

88 OVR → 93-0.0 pts

Josh Justice(WR)

82 OVR → 88-0.0 pts

Romeo Faulk(DT)

77 OVR → 90-0.0 pts

OFF impact: -0.0

DEF impact: -0.0

Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.

CHI Schedule

SOS: 0.519

Games Played150

Opponent Record810W - 751L

Opp Win %51.9%

Spread Adj+0.1 pts

SEA Schedule

SOS: 0.497

Games Played150

Opponent Record777W - 785L

Opp Win %49.7%

Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.