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Week 12 Scores
SEASEA
-
CHICHI
-
SEA -24O/U 53.5
Preview
CARCAR
-
CINCIN
-
CAR -3O/U 49.5
Preview
WASWAS
-
HOUHOU
-
HOU -0.5O/U 56
Preview
PHIPHI
-
TBTB
-
PHI -8.5O/U 59
Preview
NYJNYJ
-
BUFBUF
-
NYJ -22.5O/U 47.5
Preview
LARLAR
-
GBGB
-
LAR -26O/U 55.5
Preview
MINMIN
-
JAXJAX
-
JAX -14O/U 53
Preview
NYGNYG
-
SFSF
-
NYG -1.5O/U 56.5
Preview
KCKC
-
ARIARI
-
ARI -14O/U 55
Preview
PITPIT
-
LACLAC
-
PIT -5O/U 55
Preview
NONO
-
DENDEN
-
DEN -18O/U 61.5
Preview
BALBAL
-
CLECLE
-
PKO/U 52
Preview
MIAMIA
34
DETDET
30
FINAL Box Score
INDIND
-
DALDAL
-
IND -12O/U 53
Preview
TENTEN
13
NENE
37
FINAL Box Score
Back to Schedule
Week 12 Regular Season
HOU

Houston Texans

(2-8) • Home

20.8PPG
30.8PA
VS
WAS

Washington Commanders

(6-5) • Away

30.2PPG
27.7PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
HOUHOUHealthy

No key injuries reported

WASWAS4 out • 0.0 pts
Kelee Ringo (CB)86 OVR
Jack Hudson (LG)80 OVR
Antonio Rice (WILL)78 OVR
+1 more
Game Projections

Spread

HOU -0.5

ACC adj: +0.5

SOS adj: +1

Base: -1

HOU favored

Money Line

HOU+116
WAS-116
Win Prob46% / 54%

Over/Under

55.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

25.5

HOU

30

WAS

MODEL CONFIDENCEHIGH
80%

Strong data agreement across all model factors. Higher reliability expected.

Prediction Breakdown

PPG Matchup-4.0

HOU: 22.4 OFF / 29.9 DEF — WAS: 28.7 OFF / 28.5 DEF

Home Field-1.0
Win Rate-10.5

HOU: 2-8 — WAS: 6-5

Recent Form+12.0

HOU: +5.1 pts — WAS: -6.8 pts

Strength of Schedule-0.5

HOU: .472 avg opp — WAS: .635 avg opp

Injury Impact+0.5

HOU: 0 out — WAS: 4 out

Team ADJ (historical)+0.5
Final SpreadHOU -0.5
Offense (Per Game)
HOUSTATWAS
20.8
PPG
30.2
256.4
Total YPG
215.8
198.7
Pass YPG
173.1
57.7
Rush YPG
42.7
1.6
Pass TD/G
1.5
0.3
Rush TD/G
0.5
1.3
TO/G
1.0
50.0%
3rd Down %
40.0%
50.0%
RZ TD %
54.8%
Defense (Per Game)
HOUSTATWAS
30.8
PPG Allowed
27.7
267.2
Total YPG
237.5
175.4
Pass YPG
162.6
91.8
Rush YPG
74.9
2.6
Sacks/G
1.5
0.2
INTs/G
0.8
0.3
Takeaways/G
1.0
0.1
FF/G
0.2
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

HOU

HOU Props

Total Points
26.0
Points Against (Def)
28.0
Pass Yards
275.0
passAttempts
36.0
passTds
1.5
Rush Yards
95.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
21.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
370.0
Sacks Recorded
3.0
Turnovers
1.5
defPointsAgainst
28.0
defTackles
30.0
defSacks
3.0
defTFLs
5.5
defInterceptions
0.5
defForcedFumbles
0.0
defFumbleRecoveries
0.0
defTds
0.0
WAS

WAS Props

Total Points
29.5
Points Against (Def)
26.0
Pass Yards
265.0
passAttempts
35.0
passTds
1.5
Rush Yards
95.0
rushTds
0.5
rushAttempts
21.0
fgMade
0.0
Total Yards
355.0
Sacks Recorded
2.5
Turnovers
1.0
defPointsAgainst
26.0
defTackles
45.0
defSacks
2.5
defTFLs
5.0
defInterceptions
1.0
defForcedFumbles
0.5
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5
defTds
0.0
Key Matchup Edges
WAS

Turnover Battle

HOU: -10 | WAS: 0

HOU

Pass Rush

HOU: 2.6 sacks/g | WAS: 1.5 sacks/g

HOU

Home Field

HOU playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

WASWAS Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Kelee Ringo(CB)
86 OVR → 88-0.0 pts
Jack Hudson(LG)
80 OVR → 83-0.0 pts
Antonio Rice(WILL)
78 OVR → 86-0.0 pts
Bill Haden(TE)
74 OVR → 85-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +1 points.

HOUHOU Schedule

SOS: 0.506
Games Played150
Opponent Record790W - 772L
Opp Win %50.6%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

WASWAS Schedule

SOS: 0.511
Games Played150
Opponent Record796W - 762L
Opp Win %51.1%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.