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MIA leads series 1-0
Week 12 Regular Season
FINAL — Prediction vs Result
SPREAD
Predicted
+12.0
Actual
-4
Dev: 16.0
OVER/UNDER
Predicted
59.0
Actual
64
Dev: 5.0
OVERTEAM O/U
DET35.5→30
MIA23.5→34
Game Projections
Spread
DET -12
ACC adj: -4.0
SOS adj: +1
Base: +12
DET favored
Money Line
DET-591
MIA+591
Win Prob86% / 14%
Over/Under
59
Combined projected points
Team O/U
34.5
DET
24.5
MIA
Offense (Per Game)
DETSTATMIA
41.4
PPG
29.4
375.4
Total YPG
278.1
241.5
Pass YPG
188.2
133.8
Rush YPG
89.9
2.4
Pass TD/G
1.5
1.8
Rush TD/G
0.7
1.3
TO/G
1.2
55.8%
3rd Down %
50.0%
40.3%
RZ TD %
43.2%
Defense (Per Game)
DETSTATMIA
19.1
PPG Allowed
27.4
298.2
Total YPG
286.9
229.0
Pass YPG
188.5
69.2
Rush YPG
98.4
3.7
Sacks/G
3.1
2.1
INTs/G
0.8
3.0
Takeaways/G
0.9
0.9
FF/G
0.1
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
DET Props
Total Points
39.5/30(9.5)
Points Against (Def)
20.0/34(14.0)
Pass Yards
240.0/372(132.0)
passAttempts
32.0/34(2.0)
passTds
1.5/2(0.5)
Rush Yards
140.0/96(44.0)
rushTds
1.5/1(0.5)
rushAttempts
31.0/20(11.0)
fgMade
0.0/3(3.0)
Total Yards
380.0/468(88.0)
Sacks Recorded
4.0/2(2.0)
Turnovers
1.0/3(2.0)
defPointsAgainst
20.0/34(14.0)
defTackles
39.0/32(7.0)
defSacks
4.0/2(2.0)
defTFLs
7.0/4(3.4)
defInterceptions
1.5/1(0.5)
defForcedFumbles
1.0/1(0.0)
defFumbleRecoveries
1.0/0(1.0)
defTds
1.0/0(1.0)
MIA Props
Total Points
22.5/34(11.5)
Points Against (Def)
35.0/30(5.0)
Pass Yards
235.0/300(65.0)
passAttempts
31.0/44(13.0)
passTds
1.0/4(3.0)
Rush Yards
100.0/82(18.0)
rushTds
0.5/0(0.5)
rushAttempts
22.0/17(5.0)
fgMade
0.0/2(2.0)
Total Yards
330.0/382(52.0)
Sacks Recorded
3.0/2(1.0)
Turnovers
2.5/1(1.5)
defPointsAgainst
35.0/30(5.0)
defTackles
43.0/22(21.0)
defSacks
3.0/2(1.0)
defTFLs
5.0/4(1.4)
defInterceptions
1.0/2(1.0)
defForcedFumbles
0.0/0(0.0)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.0/0(0.0)
defTds
0.5/0(0.5)
Key Matchup Edges
DET
Offense vs Defense
DET offense (375 YPG) vs MIA defense (287 YPG allowed)
DET
Turnover Battle
DET: +19 | MIA: -3
DET
Pass Rush
DET: 3.7 sacks/g | MIA: 3.1 sacks/g
DET
Home Field
DET playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Head-to-Head History
MIA leads series 1-0Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.