PROP HIT-RATE TRACKER
Model accuracy: season averages vs sportsbook player prop lines
Overall Hit Rate
N/A
NO DATACorrect
0
of 0 graded
Props Graded
0
0 prop types
Edge vs Breakeven
N/A
52.4% breakeven
ACCURACY BY PROP TYPE
No graded props yet for 2025.
ACCURACY BY WEEK
No weekly data yet for 2025.
TOP PLAYERS BY MODEL ACCURACY
No player data yet for 2025.
Methodology: The model compares each player's season per-game average to the sportsbook prop line. If the average exceeds the line, the model picks OVER; if below, UNDER. Results are graded against actual game outcomes. A 52.4% hit rate is the approximate breakeven point for standard -110 juice props. Only props with matching game stats are graded. "Anytime TD" milestone props are excluded from the hit rate calculation.