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BUF leads series 1-0
Week 16 Regular Season
FINAL — Prediction vs Result
SPREAD
Predicted
-9.0
Actual
+7
Dev: 16.0
OVER/UNDER
Predicted
53.5
Actual
69
Dev: 15.5
OVERTEAM O/U
BUF22.3→38
MIN31.3→31
Game Projections
Spread
MIN -9
ACC adj: +5.0
SOS adj: +0.5
Base: -9
MIN favored
Money Line
BUF+379
MIN-379
Win Prob21% / 79%
Over/Under
53.5
Combined projected points
Team O/U
23.5
BUF
30
MIN
Offense (Per Game)
BUFSTATMIN
17.4
PPG
29.5
272.0
Total YPG
252.9
169.1
Pass YPG
173.6
102.9
Rush YPG
79.3
0.8
Pass TD/G
1.6
0.6
Rush TD/G
0.8
2.2
TO/G
0.7
35.4%
3rd Down %
48.8%
37.8%
RZ TD %
55.3%
Defense (Per Game)
BUFSTATMIN
32.0
PPG Allowed
25.5
339.9
Total YPG
240.7
212.5
Pass YPG
156.6
127.3
Rush YPG
84.1
2.3
Sacks/G
3.0
0.7
INTs/G
0.7
1.2
Takeaways/G
1.2
0.5
FF/G
0.5
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
BUF Props
Total Points
20.5/38(17.5)
Points Against (Def)
31.0/31(0.0)
Pass Yards
170.0/285(115.0)
passAttempts
22.0/28(6.0)
passTds
0.5/3(2.5)
Rush Yards
110.0/156(46.0)
rushTds
0.5/1(0.5)
rushAttempts
24.0/24(0.0)
fgMade
0.0/3(3.0)
Total Yards
275.0/441(166.0)
Sacks Recorded
2.5/3(0.5)
Turnovers
1.5/3(1.5)
defPointsAgainst
31.0/31(0.0)
defTackles
53.0/30(23.0)
defSacks
2.5/3(0.5)
defTFLs
5.0/5(0.4)
defInterceptions
1.0/0(1.0)
defForcedFumbles
0.5/2(1.5)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5/1(0.5)
defTds
1.0/0(1.0)
MIN Props
Total Points
31.5/31(0.5)
Points Against (Def)
21.0/38(17.0)
Pass Yards
245.0/295(50.0)
passAttempts
33.0/37(4.0)
passTds
1.5/2(0.5)
Rush Yards
115.0/149(34.0)
rushTds
1.0/1(0.0)
rushAttempts
25.0/24(1.0)
fgMade
0.0/4(4.0)
Total Yards
360.0/444(84.0)
Sacks Recorded
3.5/4(0.5)
Turnovers
1.0/1(0.0)
defPointsAgainst
21.0/38(17.0)
defTackles
31.0/22(9.0)
defSacks
3.5/4(0.5)
defTFLs
6.5/7(0.7)
defInterceptions
1.0/1(0.0)
defForcedFumbles
0.5/1(0.5)
defFumbleRecoveries
0.5/0(0.5)
defTds
0.5/0(0.5)
Key Matchup Edges
BUF
Offense vs Defense
BUF offense (272 YPG) vs MIN defense (241 YPG allowed)
MIN
Turnover Battle
BUF: -15 | MIN: +8
MIN
Pass Rush
BUF: 2.3 sacks/g | MIN: 3.0 sacks/g
BUF
Home Field
BUF playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Head-to-Head History
BUF leads series 1-0Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.