Back to Schedule→→
JAX leads series 1-0
Week 11 Regular Season
FINAL — Prediction vs Result
SPREAD
Predicted
+4.5
Actual
-3
Dev: 7.5
OVER/UNDER
Predicted
51.5
Actual
51
Dev: 0.5
UNDERTEAM O/U
NE28.0→24
JAX23.5→27
Game Projections
Spread
NE -4.5
ACC adj: -1.0
SOS adj: -0.5
Base: +4.5
NE favored
Money Line
NE-218
JAX+174
Win Prob66% / 34%
Over/Under
51.5
Combined projected points
Team O/U
29.5
NE
22
JAX
Offense (Per Game)
NESTATJAX
29.1
PPG
21.2
295.8
Total YPG
302.6
178.7
Pass YPG
225.8
117.1
Rush YPG
76.8
1.6
Pass TD/G
1.7
1.1
Rush TD/G
0.6
1.1
TO/G
0.9
48.1%
3rd Down %
51.4%
43.6%
RZ TD %
42.5%
Defense (Per Game)
NESTATJAX
21.4
PPG Allowed
28.6
259.5
Total YPG
304.3
179.9
Pass YPG
191.4
79.6
Rush YPG
112.9
2.0
Sacks/G
2.1
1.3
INTs/G
1.0
1.3
Takeaways/G
1.8
0.0
FF/G
0.8
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
NE Props
Total Points31.0
Points Against (Def)23.0
Pass Yards215.0
passAttempts29.0
passTds1.0
Rush Yards140.0
rushTds1.0
rushAttempts31.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards355.0
Sacks Recorded2.5
Turnovers1.5
defPointsAgainst23.0
defTackles41.0
defSacks2.5
defTFLs5.0
defInterceptions1.5
defForcedFumbles0.0
defFumbleRecoveries0.0
defTds0.5
JAX Props
Total Points24.0
Points Against (Def)28.0
Pass Yards255.0
passAttempts34.0
passTds1.0
Rush Yards90.0
rushTds0.5
rushAttempts20.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards345.0
Sacks Recorded2.5
Turnovers1.5
defPointsAgainst28.0
defTackles43.0
defSacks2.5
defTFLs4.5
defInterceptions1.0
defForcedFumbles1.0
defFumbleRecoveries1.0
defTds0.5
Key Matchup Edges
JAX
Offense vs Defense
JAX offense (303 YPG) vs NE defense (260 YPG allowed)
JAX
Turnover Battle
NE: +2 | JAX: +9
NE
Home Field
NE playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Head-to-Head History
JAX leads series 1-0Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.