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Week 11 Regular Season
LAR

Los Angeles Rams

(6-3) • Home

32.5PPG
22.5PA
MIN

Minnesota Vikings

(5-4) • Away

31.2PPG
25.1PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: +1 pts
LARLAR1 out • -1.1 pts
Luther Burden III (WR)97 OVR
MINMIN1 out • -0.3 pts
Allen Riddick (HB)82 OVR
Game Projections

Spread

LAR -6

INJ adj: +1

Base: +5

LAR favored

Money Line

LAR-236
MIN+187
Win Prob68% / 32%

Over/Under

56.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

29.5

LAR

27

MIN

Offense (Per Game)
LARSTATMIN
32.5
PPG
31.2
330.7
Total YPG
302.3
182.4
Pass YPG
203.6
148.2
Rush YPG
98.8
1.2
Pass TD/G
1.9
1.6
Rush TD/G
1.1
1.6
TO/G
0.9
52.0%
3rd Down %
51.0%
44.7%
RZ TD %
60.0%
Defense (Per Game)
LARSTATMIN
22.5
PPG Allowed
25.1
232.4
Total YPG
277.7
173.4
Pass YPG
168.3
59.0
Rush YPG
109.3
2.7
Sacks/G
3.0
1.3
INTs/G
0.7
1.6
Takeaways/G
1.0
0.2
FF/G
0.3
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

LAR

LAR Props

Total Points31.0
Points Against (Def)24.5
Pass Yards225.0
passAttempts30.0
passTds1.0
Rush Yards155.0
rushTds1.0
rushAttempts34.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards375.0
Sacks Recorded3.0
Turnovers2.0
defPointsAgainst24.5
defTackles39.0
defSacks3.0
defTFLs5.5
defInterceptions1.0
defForcedFumbles0.5
defFumbleRecoveries0.5
defTds0.5
MIN

MIN Props

Total Points27.5
Points Against (Def)28.0
Pass Yards235.0
passAttempts31.0
passTds1.5
Rush Yards95.0
rushTds1.0
rushAttempts21.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards330.0
Sacks Recorded3.0
Turnovers1.5
defPointsAgainst28.0
defTackles31.0
defSacks3.0
defTFLs5.5
defInterceptions1.0
defForcedFumbles0.5
defFumbleRecoveries0.5
defTds0.5
Key Matchup Edges
LAR

Offense vs Defense

LAR offense (331 YPG) vs MIN defense (278 YPG allowed)

MIN

Offense vs Defense

MIN offense (302 YPG) vs LAR defense (232 YPG allowed)

LAR

Home Field

LAR playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by +1 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

LARLAR Injuries

-1.1 pts impact
Luther Burden III(WR)
97 OVR → 88-1.1 pts
OFF impact: -1.1
DEF impact: -0.0

MINMIN Injuries

-0.3 pts impact
Allen Riddick(HB)
82 OVR → 79-0.3 pts
OFF impact: -0.3
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments.

LARLAR Schedule

SOS: 0.496
Games Played143
Opponent Record678W - 690L
Opp Win %49.6%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

MINMIN Schedule

SOS: 0.505
Games Played143
Opponent Record691W - 676L
Opp Win %50.5%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.