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Back to Schedule
Week 11 Regular Season
IND

Indianapolis Colts

(6-4) • Home

25.5PPG
26.8PA
TEN

Tennessee Titans

(5-5) • Away

27.9PPG
26.5PA
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: 0 pts
INDIND3 out • 0.0 pts
Emeka Egbuka (WR)90 OVR
Tank Dell (WR)84 OVR
Christian McCaffrey (HB)79 OVR
TENTENHealthy

No key injuries reported

Game Projections

Spread

TEN -2

ACC adj: -2.0

SOS adj: -2

Base: +2

TEN favored

Money Line

IND-149
TEN+121
Win Prob57% / 43%

Over/Under

54.5

Combined projected points

Team O/U

27

IND

27.5

TEN

Offense (Per Game)
INDSTATTEN
25.5
PPG
27.9
318.2
Total YPG
295.7
227.9
Pass YPG
203.8
90.3
Rush YPG
91.9
1.8
Pass TD/G
1.8
0.5
Rush TD/G
0.9
2.2
TO/G
0.9
57.0%
3rd Down %
47.9%
44.1%
RZ TD %
50.0%
Defense (Per Game)
INDSTATTEN
26.8
PPG Allowed
26.5
248.5
Total YPG
276.6
177.7
Pass YPG
199.2
70.8
Rush YPG
77.4
3.4
Sacks/G
2.2
0.1
INTs/G
0.8
0.9
Takeaways/G
1.3
0.8
FF/G
0.5
Prop Predictions

Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.

IND

IND Props

Total Points28.5
Points Against (Def)26.0
Pass Yards270.0
passAttempts36.0
passTds1.5
Rush Yards105.0
rushTds0.5
rushAttempts24.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards375.0
Sacks Recorded3.5
Turnovers2.0
defPointsAgainst26.0
defTackles39.0
defSacks3.5
defTFLs6.5
defInterceptions0.5
defForcedFumbles1.0
defFumbleRecoveries1.0
defTds1.0
TEN

TEN Props

Total Points27.0
Points Against (Def)27.0
Pass Yards240.0
passAttempts32.0
passTds1.5
Rush Yards105.0
rushTds0.5
rushAttempts23.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards345.0
Sacks Recorded2.5
Turnovers1.0
defPointsAgainst27.0
defTackles31.0
defSacks2.5
defTFLs5.0
defInterceptions1.5
defForcedFumbles0.5
defFumbleRecoveries0.5
defTds0.0
Key Matchup Edges
IND

Offense vs Defense

IND offense (318 YPG) vs TEN defense (277 YPG allowed)

TEN

Offense vs Defense

TEN offense (296 YPG) vs IND defense (249 YPG allowed)

TEN

Turnover Battle

IND: -13 | TEN: +4

IND

Pass Rush

IND: 3.4 sacks/g | TEN: 2.2 sacks/g

IND

Home Field

IND playing at home (+2.5 pts)

Injury Impact on Spread

Spread adjusted by 0 points based on key player injuries and backup quality

INDIND Injuries

0.0 pts impact
Emeka Egbuka(WR)
90 OVR → 93-0.0 pts
Tank Dell(WR)
84 OVR → 93-0.0 pts
Christian McCaffrey(HB)
79 OVR → 86-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact

SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by -2 points.

INDIND Schedule

SOS: 0.505
Games Played143
Opponent Record689W - 675L
Opp Win %50.5%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

TENTEN Schedule

SOS: 0.496
Games Played143
Opponent Record676W - 686L
Opp Win %49.6%
Spread Adj0.0 pts

Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.