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MIA1 out • 0.0 pts
CHI1 out • -1.1 pts
0.0 pts impact
-1.1 pts impact
SOS: 0.501
SOS: 0.517
Week 11 Regular Season
KEY INJURIESSpread impact: -1 pts
MIA1 out • 0.0 ptsTory Horton (WR)87 OVR
CHI1 out • -1.1 ptsElias Castro (HB)80 OVR
Game Projections
Spread
MIA -12.5
INJ adj: -1
ACC adj: -2.0
SOS adj: +0.5
Base: +15
MIA favored
Money Line
MIA-1270
CHI+713
Win Prob90% / 10%
Over/Under
53.5
Combined projected points
Team O/U
32.5
MIA
21
CHI
Offense (Per Game)
MIASTATCHI
29.8
PPG
12.4
299.4
Total YPG
214.7
198.7
Pass YPG
153.0
100.8
Rush YPG
61.7
1.4
Pass TD/G
1.1
0.9
Rush TD/G
0.1
1.3
TO/G
1.9
50.0%
3rd Down %
28.6%
37.5%
RZ TD %
47.4%
Defense (Per Game)
MIASTATCHI
27.5
PPG Allowed
35.3
300.2
Total YPG
300.7
190.7
Pass YPG
197.2
109.6
Rush YPG
103.4
3.6
Sacks/G
3.2
0.8
INTs/G
0.6
0.9
Takeaways/G
0.9
0.1
FF/G
0.3
Prop Predictions
Projected stat lines based on season averages and opponent matchups. Starters only for player props.
MIA Props
Total Points30.0
Points Against (Def)20.5
Pass Yards225.0
passAttempts30.0
passTds1.0
Rush Yards115.0
rushTds0.5
rushAttempts25.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards335.0
Sacks Recorded5.5
Turnovers1.5
defPointsAgainst20.5
defTackles43.0
defSacks5.5
defTFLs9.5
defInterceptions1.0
defForcedFumbles0.0
defFumbleRecoveries0.0
defTds0.5
CHI Props
Total Points19.0
Points Against (Def)30.0
Pass Yards190.0
passAttempts25.0
passTds1.0
Rush Yards90.0
rushTds0.0
rushAttempts20.0
fgMade0.0
Total Yards280.0
Sacks Recorded3.5
Turnovers1.5
defPointsAgainst30.0
defTackles46.0
defSacks3.5
defTFLs6.0
defInterceptions1.0
defForcedFumbles0.5
defFumbleRecoveries0.5
defTds0.0
Key Matchup Edges
MIA
Turnover Battle
MIA: -4 | CHI: -9
MIA
Home Field
MIA playing at home (+2.5 pts)
Injury Impact on Spread
Spread adjusted by -1 points based on key player injuries and backup quality
MIA Injuries
0.0 pts impactTory Horton(WR)
87 OVR → 91-0.0 pts
OFF impact: -0.0
DEF impact: -0.0
CHI Injuries
-1.1 pts impactElias Castro(HB)
80 OVR → 68-1.1 pts
OFF impact: -1.1
DEF impact: -0.0
Strength of Schedule Impact
SOS measures opponent quality. Teams with tougher schedules get favorable adjustments. Spread adjusted by +0.5 points.
MIA Schedule
SOS: 0.501Games Played143
Opponent Record685W - 681L
Opp Win %50.1%
Spread Adj0.0 pts
CHI Schedule
SOS: 0.517Games Played143
Opponent Record706W - 660L
Opp Win %51.7%
Spread Adj+0.1 pts
Projections based on season-to-date averages with 2.5-point home field advantage. Spreads adjusted for injuries (player OVR drop-off) and strength of schedule (opponent quality). For entertainment purposes only.